Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone A

Millesimo vs Ligorna

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group A - 11

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available45.1% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available75.1% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available64.9% · No 35.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available63% · Under 37% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.2% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Millesimo 45.1% · Draw 24.9% · Ligorna 30.0%. Selected outcome: Millesimo win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Millesimo 1.81, Ligorna 1.45, expected total 3.26.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Millesimo: D-W-W-L-L in their last five matches.
Ligorna: W-L-W-W-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Millesimo

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)0.80
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1356

Ligorna

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season5
Elo strength rating1346
MillesimoLigorna
Goals scored (season avg)
1.80
1.90
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.80
1.30
Best league winning streak this season
2
5
Elo strength rating
1356
1346

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Millesimo

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Ligorna

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone A

Millesimo

Best defence (0.80 conceded/game, season) 3rd best clean sheets (3, season)

Ligorna

3rd best attack (1.90 goals/game, season) 3rd best clean sheets (3, season)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Millesimo at home · Ligorna away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Millesimo (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–0L
W 4
D 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.40
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0

Ligorna (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–0D–1L
W 4
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Millesimo (home)Ligorna (away)
W 4
D 1
W 4
L 1
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
2.40
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.60
0.80
Clean sheets
2
3
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.16%
2–0
6.34%
1–0
5.99%
3–1
5.52%
3–2
3.99%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Millesimo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Biellese Away 1–4 L
24/10 Sanremese Home 1–1 D
18/10 Fezzanese Away 4–0 W
11/10 Borgosesia Home 3–0 W
07/10 Sanremese Away 2–5 L
04/10 Asti Away 0–2 L
27/09 Lascaris Home 2–0 W
20/09 Derthona Away 0–1 L
16/09 Alessandria Home 4–1 W
12/09 Valenzana Home 2–1 W

Ligorna

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Sestri Levante Home 0–0 D
25/10 Valenzana Away 1–0 W
18/10 Bra Home 1–2 L
11/10 Gozzano Away 4–0 W
04/10 Saluzzo Home 2–1 W
27/09 Chisola Away 2–1 W
20/09 Celle Varazze Away 2–0 W
16/09 Derthona Home 2–3 L
13/09 Biellese Away 1–3 L
06/09 Sanremese Home 2–2 D

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone A

Millesimo #6 · 16 pts ·  Ligorna #4 · 17 pts

Millesimo

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–1D–4L
W 5
D 1
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Ligorna

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–2D–3L
W 5
D 2
L 3
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
MillesimoLigorna
W 5
D 1
L 4
W 5
D 2
L 3
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
1.90
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.30
Clean sheets
3
3
Failed to score
3
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Millesimo

2
0-15
4
1
16-30
5
1
31-45
1
46-60
3
61-75
1
3
76-90
2
scored conceded

Ligorna

1
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
5
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
6
2
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws