Italy Serie D - Girone A Draw Football Predictions

Round 11 • 3 Upcoming This Round • Updated 2 hours ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
🔍 More Italy League Tips
Serie A Serie B Serie C - Girone A Campionato Primavera 1 Campionato Primavera 2 Coppa Italia Primavera Coppa Italia Serie C Coppa Italia Serie D Serie A Women Serie C - Girone B Serie C - Girone C Serie D - Girone B Serie D - Girone C Serie D - Girone D Serie D - Girone E Serie D - Girone F Serie D - Girone G Serie D - Girone H Serie D - Girone I

Group A, Round 11

Saturday, November 07

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
18:30 LWLLL
Fezzanese Fezzanese vs Borgosesia Borgosesia
LWWLL 33.3% Draw N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
16:30 DLLLW
Gozzano Gozzano vs Derthona Derthona
WDDLL 30% Draw N/A — —
16:30 LLLWD
Lascaris Lascaris vs Biellese Biellese
WLLWL 31.1% Draw N/A — —

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone A for Draws

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

8 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
62.5% 5/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score
62.5% 5/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5
62.5% 5/8
🔢 Correct Score
0.0% 0/8
🛡️ Double Chance
87.5% 7/8
🤝 Draw Predictions
50.0% 1/2
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
66.7% 4/6
📌 1X2 · draw picks
50.0% 1/2

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 62.5% 5/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score 62.5% 5/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5 62.5% 5/8
🛡️ Double Chance 87.5% 7/8
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 2/2. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 45.5% 62.5% 8 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 62.9% 66.7% 3 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 55.0% 60.0% 5 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 52.2% 71.4% 7 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 60.4% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 11.2% 0.0% 8 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 76.0% 100.0% 4 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 67.6% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 81.5% 100.0% 2 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 28.4% 50.0% 2 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Group A, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
01/11 16:30 WLDLL
Celle Varazze Celle Varazze vs Valenzana Valenzana
LWLLD 27.9% Draw ❌ @3.44Pinnacle -4% 2 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 DDLDL
Saluzzo Saluzzo vs Gozzano Gozzano
DLLLW 28.9% Draw ✅ @3.05Dafabet -11.9% 0 – 0 FT