Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone A

Fezzanese vs Borgosesia

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:30 UTC+3 • Group A - 11 • ⛅ 15.6°C, 2 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available33.3% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available70.5% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available41.5% · No 58.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available67.2% · Over 32.8% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available14.8% —

🧠 Match Preview

Fezzanese · Home

Fezzanese have lost four of their last five, failing to score in three of those matches and conceding 10 goals across the run. Their only win in that stretch was a 1-0 away result at Lascaris.

Borgosesia · Away

Borgosesia have scored 8 goals in their last five but also conceded 9, including a 3-0 away win at Asti. They failed to score in two of those five matches.

Low-scoring H2H points to draw

The latest H2H ended 0-1 in Borgosesia's favour, while the prior meeting finished 2-0 to Fezzanese. Both teams have shown scoring problems recently, with Fezzanese failing to score in three of five and Borgosesia in two of five. The model's 1-1 correct score at 14.8% and Under 2.5 at 67.2% fit a tight, low-scoring contest. The evidence supports Draw.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Fezzanese 0.94 – 1.08 Borgosesia · expected total 2.02

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Fezzanese

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1308

Borgosesia

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1374
FezzaneseBorgosesia
Goals scored (season avg)
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
1.30
Best league winning streak this season
2
2
Elo strength rating
1308
1374

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Fezzanese

BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
2/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Borgosesia

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone A

Fezzanese

3rd best clean sheets (3, season)

Borgosesia

2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Fezzanese at home · Borgosesia away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Fezzanese (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–4L
W 1
L 4
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3

Borgosesia (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–1L
W 2
D 2
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Fezzanese (home)Borgosesia (away)
W 1
L 4
W 2
D 2
L 1
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
1.20
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
3
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
14.81%
0–0
14.64%
2–2
3.41%
3–3
0.38%
4–4
<0.1%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Borgosesia 1 win · 1 draw · Fezzanese 3 wins · avg 1.8 goals · BTTS in 1 of 5

1
1
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
31 Jan 2024 Borgosesia 0–1 Fezzanese Serie D - Girone A
04 Oct 2023 Fezzanese 2–0 Borgosesia Serie D - Girone A
06 Apr 2023 Borgosesia 1–0 Fezzanese Serie D - Girone A
27 Nov 2022 Fezzanese 1–0 Borgosesia Serie D - Girone A
08 Dec 2019 Borgosesia 2–2 Fezzanese Serie D - Girone A

📈 Recent Form

Fezzanese

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Asti Home 0–2 L
25/10 Lascaris Away 1–0 W
18/10 Millesimo Home 0–4 L
11/10 Alessandria Away 0–2 L
04/10 Valenzana Home 1–2 L
27/09 Imperia Away 0–2 L
21/09 Gozzano Home 0–2 L
16/09 Sestri Levante Away 3–0 W
13/09 Chisola Home 2–0 W
06/09 Bra Away 1–1 D

Borgosesia

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Alessandria Home 1–3 L
25/10 Asti Away 3–0 W
18/10 Imperia Home 4–2 W
11/10 Millesimo Away 0–3 L
04/10 Sestri Levante Home 0–1 L
30/09 Chisola Away 2–2 D
27/09 Valenzana Away 2–1 W
20/09 Bra Home 1–1 D
16/09 Gozzano Away 0–0 D
12/09 Saluzzo Home 0–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone A

Fezzanese #14 · 10 pts ·  Borgosesia #12 · 12 pts

Fezzanese

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–6L
W 3
D 1
L 6
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score5
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1

Borgosesia

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–4L
W 3
D 3
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
FezzaneseBorgosesia
W 3
D 1
L 6
W 3
D 3
L 4
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.30
Clean sheets
3
2
Failed to score
5
4
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/1
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Fezzanese

3
0-15
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
5
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
2
76-90
scored conceded

Borgosesia

0-15
2
2
16-30
6
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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