Alessandria scored 2+ goals in 9 of their last 10 matches
Italy Serie D - Girone A Correct Score Football Predictions
Round 11 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
Serie A
Serie B
Serie C - Girone A
Campionato Primavera 1
Campionato Primavera 2
Coppa Italia Primavera
Coppa Italia Serie C
Coppa Italia Serie D
Serie A Women
Serie C - Girone B
Serie C - Girone C
Serie D - Girone B
Serie D - Girone C
Serie D - Girone D
Serie D - Girone E
Serie D - Girone F
Serie D - Girone G
Serie D - Girone H
Serie D - Girone I
Group A, Round 11
Saturday, November 07
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Score | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:30 | LWLLL | LWWLL | 14.8% | 1-1 | N/A | — | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
Sunday, November 08
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Score | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | WWWWL | WLDLL | 14.6% | 2-0 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | DLLLW | WDDLL | 14.3% | 1-1 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | WLDLW | DWDWD | 11.6% | 1-0 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | DWLWD | DDLDL | 10.2% | 1-0 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | DDLDW | LDWDW | 9.1% | 2-1 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LWLLD | WWWWW | 9.9% | 1-2 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LLLWD | WLLWL | 14.6% | 1-1 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LDWWL | DWLWW | 9.2% | 2-1 | N/A | — | — |
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone A for Correct Score
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Lascaris's last 10 matches
Chisola have scored 2 or more goals in their last 6 matches
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Fezzanese's last 10 matches
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Asti's last 10 matches
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Sestri Levante's last 10 matches
Millesimo scored 2+ goals in 6 of their last 10 matches
Under 2.5 goals in 6 of Derthona's last 10 matches
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Draw Predictions: 2/2. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 45.5% | 62.5% | 8 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 62.9% | 66.7% | 3 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 55.0% | 60.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 52.2% | 71.4% | 7 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 60.4% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 11.2% | 0.0% | 8 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 76.0% | 100.0% | 4 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 67.6% | 50.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 81.5% | 100.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 28.4% | 50.0% | 2 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Group A, Round 10
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Score | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 16:30 | LDWWL | WLDLW | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | WDDLL | ----- | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | DDLDL | WWWWW | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 3 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | DDLDW | LWLLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | LDLWL | DLLLW | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 02/11 17:00 | DWLWW | DWDWW | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 0 FT | |
| 02/11 17:00 | DWDWD | ----- | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 0 FT | |
| 02/11 17:00 | DWLWD | ----- | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 17:00 | WLDLL | WLLWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 3 – 1 FT | |
| 31/10 16:30 | LWLLL | WLDLW | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 2 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | LWWLL | WWWWL | 8.6% | 1-2 ❌ | N/A | — | 1 – 3 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WLDLL | LWLLD | 14.4% | 1-1 ❌ | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WWWWW | LDWDW | 9.8% | 2-1 ❌ | N/A | — | 5 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | DWLWW | DDLDW | 11.5% | 1-0 ❌ | N/A | — | 0 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | DDLDL | DLLLW | 12.8% | 1-1 ❌ | N/A | — | 0 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WLLWL | LDWWL | 9.7% | 2-1 ❌ | N/A | — | 4 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WDDLL | LLLWD | 13.2% | 1-0 ❌ | N/A | — | 4 – 3 FT | |
| 01/11 17:00 | DWDWD | DWLWD | 9.7% | 2-1 ❌ | N/A | — | 0 – 0 FT |