Gozzano vs Derthona
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group A - 11 • 🌧 9.4°C, 0 km/h, 0.6mm rain
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 30% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 65.3% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 51.1% · No 48.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 55.8% · Over 44.2% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Current price not available | 14.3% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Gozzano · Home
Gozzano have taken just one win from their last five, with the 2-1 home success over Sanremese standing out against three defeats. They failed to score in two of those five matches, including the 0-0 at Saluzzo.
Derthona · Away
Derthona's recent run includes a 4-3 home win over Lascaris and a 0-0 draw at Bra, but also a 2-4 loss at Chisola. They failed to score only once in five and drew twice.
Head-to-head keeps landing level
The latest head-to-head finished 1-1 in Gozzano, and the previous meeting also ended 1-1. Both sides have drawn twice in their last five, and the model expected goals are almost identical at 1.23 for Gozzano and 1.22 for Derthona. A repeat of the 1-1 scoreline is the contract's correct-score call at 14.3%, which fits a matchup whose recent meetings have been tight. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Gozzano 1.23 – 1.22 Derthona · expected total 2.45
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Gozzano
Derthona
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone A
Gozzano
Derthona
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Gozzano at home · Derthona away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Gozzano (home)
Derthona (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Derthona 2 wins · 4 draws · Gozzano 3 wins · avg 2.6 goals · BTTS in 5 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb 2026 | Gozzano | 1–1 | Derthona | Serie D - Girone A |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Derthona | 1–1 | Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Derthona | 0–1 | Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Gozzano | 2–2 | Derthona | Serie D - Girone A |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Derthona | 0–3 | Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Gozzano | 0–2 | Derthona | Serie D - Girone A |
| 05 Feb 2023 | Gozzano | 3–1 | Derthona | Serie D - Girone A |
| 02 Oct 2022 | Derthona | 3–0 | Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
| 24 Apr 2022 | Derthona | 1–1 | Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
📈 Recent Form
Gozzano
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Saluzzo | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 25/10 | Chisola | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 11/10 | Ligorna | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 04/10 | Biellese | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 27/09 | Sanremese | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 21/09 | Fezzanese | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Borgosesia | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 12/09 | Asti | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 06/09 | Lascaris | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 12/08 | Pro Patria | Away | 1–3 | L |
Derthona
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Lascaris | Home | 4–3 | W |
| 25/10 | Bra | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 18/10 | Asti | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 11/10 | Chisola | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 04/10 | Alessandria | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 27/09 | Saluzzo | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 20/09 | Millesimo | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Ligorna | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 13/09 | Imperia | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 06/09 | Celle Varazze | Away | 1–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone A
Gozzano #9 · 14 pts · Derthona #5 · 16 pts
Gozzano
Derthona
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Gozzano
Derthona
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws