Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone A

Valenzana vs Chisola

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group A - 11

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Away Current price not available56.8% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available79.8% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available61.1% · No 38.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available62.4% · Under 37.6% —
Correct Score 1-2 Current price not available9.9% —

🧠 Match Preview

Valenzana · Home

Valenzana have won just one of their last five matches, though that was a 3-0 home win over Biellese. They also lost the latest head-to-head 2-3 at home to Chisola.

Chisola · Away

Chisola have won all five recent matches, scoring 19 goals and conceding 5. They won the latest head-to-head 2-3 at Valenzana and the earlier meeting 1-0 at home.

Chisola streak meets H2H edge

Chisola's five straight wins include a 5-1 home win over Bra and a 4-0 away win at Celle Varazze. Valenzana have lost three of their last five, including a 1-4 away defeat at Biellese. The latest head-to-head, on 3 May 2026, finished 2-3 to Chisola, and the earlier meeting ended 1-0. The evidence supports Chisola win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Valenzana 1.17 – 2.06 Chisola · expected total 3.23

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Valenzana

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.80
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1296

Chisola

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season5
Elo strength rating1423
ValenzanaChisola
Goals scored (season avg)
1.00
2.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.80
1.20
Best league winning streak this season
3
5
Elo strength rating
1296
1423

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Valenzana

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Chisola

Won 5 in a row Unbeaten 6
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone A

Valenzana

Best BTTS rate (67%, last 6) 2nd worst clean sheets (0, season)

Chisola

Best attack (2.10 goals/game, season) Best BTTS rate (67%, last 6) Best Over 2.5 rate (100%, last 6) 3rd best clean sheets (3, season)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Valenzana at home · Chisola away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Valenzana (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–4L
D 1
L 4
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2

Chisola (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–1L
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Valenzana (home)Chisola (away)
D 1
L 4
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
0.60
2.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.00
Clean sheets
0
2
Failed to score
2
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–2
9.88%
0–2
8.45%
0–1
7.24%
1–3
6.79%
0–3
5.81%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Chisola 2 wins · 0 draws · Valenzana 0 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 1 of 2

2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
03 May 2026 Valenzana 2–3 Chisola Serie D - Girone A
21 Dec 2025 Chisola 1–0 Valenzana Serie D - Girone A

📈 Recent Form

Valenzana

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Celle Varazze Away 1–2 L
28/10 Biellese Home 3–0 W
25/10 Ligorna Home 0–1 L
18/10 Biellese Away 1–4 L
11/10 Sanremese Home 1–1 D
07/10 Saluzzo Home 3–2 W
04/10 Fezzanese Away 2–1 W
27/09 Borgosesia Home 1–2 L
20/09 Asti Away 2–2 D
16/09 Lascaris Home 0–1 L

Chisola

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Bra Home 5–1 W
25/10 Gozzano Away 3–2 W
18/10 Saluzzo Away 3–0 W
11/10 Derthona Home 4–2 W
04/10 Celle Varazze Away 4–0 W
30/09 Borgosesia Home 2–2 D
27/09 Ligorna Home 1–2 L
20/09 Biellese Away 1–1 D
16/09 Sanremese Home 1–0 W
13/09 Fezzanese Away 0–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone A

Valenzana #17 · 5 pts ·  Chisola #2 · 20 pts

Valenzana

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–7L
W 1
D 2
L 7
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Chisola

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–2D–2L
W 6
D 2
L 2
Played10
Goals scored (avg)2.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
ValenzanaChisola
W 1
D 2
L 7
W 6
D 2
L 2
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
2.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
1.20
Clean sheets
0
3
Failed to score
2
1
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Valenzana

6
0-15
4
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
61-75
1
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Chisola

1
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
6
2
46-60
2
4
61-75
2
1
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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