Italy Serie C - Girone C Predictions and Betting Tips

Round 12 • 1 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

Girone C, Round 12

Today - Monday, November 02

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
22:30 WLDLL WLLWW 28.4% Draw BetVictor3.30 -6.3% —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

PredictLix Serie C - Girone C Facts and Insights

League facts from all completed matches · Updated: November 2, 2026, 05:15 UTC

Results and goal volume

Metric Current2026/27 · 119 matches Previous2025/26 · 380 matches Change
Home wins 47.9% 45.8% +2.1 pp
Draws 26.9% 28.2% -1.3 pp
Away wins 25.2% 26.1% -0.9 pp
Total goals per match 2.78 2.49 +0.29
Home goals per match 1.61 1.46 +0.15
Away goals per match 1.17 1.03 +0.14
First-half goals per match 1.23 1.12 +0.11
Over 1.5 goals 73.1% 72.6% +0.5 pp
Over 2.5 goals 51.3% 46.1% +5.2 pp
Over 3.5 goals 31.9% 24.2% +7.7 pp

Scoring and match patterns

Metric Current2026/27 · 119 matches Previous2025/26 · 380 matches Change
Over 4.5 goals 18.5% 8.2% +10.3 pp
First-half Over 1.5 goals 34.5% 31.6% +2.9 pp
First-half both teams scored 20.2% 19.7% +0.5 pp
Both teams scored 53.8% 51.3% +2.5 pp
BTTS and Over 2.5 42.9% 37.6% +5.3 pp
Goalless draws (0–0) 10.1% 7.6% +2.5 pp
Home clean sheets 36.1% 33.7% +2.4 pp
Away clean sheets 20.2% 22.6% -2.4 pp
One-goal winning margins 37.8% 39.5% -1.7 pp
Second-half Over 1.5 goals 46.2% 38.7% +7.5 pp

pp = percentage points. Final scores are listed with the home team first.

Most common final scores

Twelve scorelines in descending current-season frequency, continuing from the first table to the second.

Final score Current season2026/27 Previous season2025/26 Change
1–0 14.3%17 of 119 10.8%41 of 380 +3.5 pp
1–1 10.9%13 of 119 13.7%52 of 380 -2.8 pp
0–0 10.1%12 of 119 7.6%29 of 380 +2.5 pp
1–2 8.4%10 of 119 7.6%29 of 380 +0.8 pp
2–1 6.7%8 of 119 9.2%35 of 380 -2.5 pp
2–0 5.9%7 of 119 9.5%36 of 380 -3.6 pp
Final score Current season2026/27 Previous season2025/26 Change
0–2 5.0%6 of 119 3.4%13 of 380 +1.6 pp
2–2 4.2%5 of 119 6.1%23 of 380 -1.9 pp
3–1 4.2%5 of 119 5.8%22 of 380 -1.6 pp
4–2 4.2%5 of 119 0.3%1 of 380 +3.9 pp
0–1 2.5%3 of 119 8.9%34 of 380 -6.4 pp
3–0 2.5%3 of 119 3.4%13 of 380 -0.9 pp

Five key insights from the season data

  • Home wins rose to 47.9% this season from 45.8% last season, while away wins and draws both slipped; the share of matches ending level fell from 28.2% to 26.9%. One possible explanation is that home sides are converting marginal game states more often, since the overall goal rate also climbed and fewer matches are being settled as draws.
  • Matches with over 3.5 goals jumped to 31.9% this season from 24.2% last season, a larger rise than the over 2.5 move, so the extra scoring is concentrated in already-open games. This could reflect more matches opening up after an early goal, with second-half over 1.5 goals also up to 46.2% from 38.7%.
  • Both teams scored in 53.8% of matches this season versus 51.3% last season, and BTTS with over 2.5 rose to 42.9% from 37.6%. One possible explanation is that more games are being played in stretched, end-to-end states rather than one side protecting a lead, which also fits the higher total goals per match.
  • Goalless draws increased to 10.1% this season from 7.6% last season even as total goals per match rose to 2.78 from 2.49. That combination could point to a wider spread of match shapes, with some cautious low-event games coexisting with more high-scoring ones rather than a uniform shift in tempo.
  • First-half goals per match edged up to 1.23 this season from 1.12 last season, a smaller rise than the full-match increase, so much of the added scoring is arriving later. One possible explanation is that teams are starting more cautiously and the games open up after the interval, consistent with second-half over 1.5 goals climbing to 46.2% from 38.7%.

AI-selected and written from the verified figures above · Published: November 1, 2026, 19:16 UTC

Current Standings

Serie C - Girone C · 2026/27

Updated: Nov 2, 2026, 00:00 UTC
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1
Potenza Leader
12 9 2 1 32 17 +15 29
W D W W W
2
Bari
12 6 4 2 15 8 +7 22
D D D W L
3
Audace Cerignola
12 6 2 4 19 11 +8 20
W L W W D
4
Sorrento
12 6 2 4 16 13 +3 20
L D D L W
5
Catania
12 6 1 5 24 13 +11 19
L W L W W
6
SS Monopoli
12 5 4 3 13 9 +4 19
D W W L D
7
AZ Picerno
12 6 0 6 22 19 +3 18
W W L L L
8
Scafatese
12 4 6 2 18 16 +2 18
D L W D W
9
Inter U23
12 5 2 5 21 20 +1 17
L W D L W
10
Casertana
12 4 5 3 16 15 +1 17
L D D W L
11
Cavese
12 4 3 5 21 20 +1 15
L L W D W
12
Salernitana
12 3 6 3 15 16 -1 15
D L D D W
13
Team Altamura
12 4 3 5 11 17 -6 15
W D W L D
14
Foggia
11 4 2 5 11 13 -2 14
W L L W W
15
Casarano
11 4 2 5 13 18 -5 14
W L D L L
16
Giugliano
12 4 1 7 16 29 -13 13
W L W L L
17
Barletta
12 2 6 4 13 16 -3 12
D L W D L
18
Savoia
12 2 6 4 13 18 -5 12
D D L W D
19
Cosenza
12 2 3 7 10 23 -13 9
W D L W L
20
Crotone
12 1 4 7 12 20 -8 1
L L D L L

League-only form: five most recent matches in this competition, newest first. Prediction tables show form across all competitions.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

5 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
40.0% 2/5
⚽ Both Teams to Score
80.0% 4/5
📈 Over / Under 2.5
80.0% 4/5
🔢 Correct Score
0.0% 0/5
🛡️ Double Chance
60.0% 3/5
🤝 Draw Predictions
100.0% 1/1
📌 1X2 · draw picks
100.0% 1/1
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
25.0% 1/4

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 40.0% 2/5
⚽ Both Teams to Score 80.0% 4/5
📈 Over / Under 2.5 80.0% 4/5
🛡️ Double Chance 60.0% 3/5
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 47.8% 25.0% 4 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% 70.0% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 51.9% 66.7% 3 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 62.9% 100.0% 2 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 52.0% 66.7% 3 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 63.8% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 74.6% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 10.4% 0.0% 5 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 64.7% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 83.8% 66.7% 3 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 72.2% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 28.7% 100.0% 1 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Girone C, Round 8

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
03/10 21:30 DLDWW LDWDW — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
04/10 15:30 LWLWL WLLWW — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
04/10 18:30 LLDLL WWLLL — No data N/A — 3 – 0 FT
05/10 15:30 DLDDW LLWDW — No data N/A — 3 – 2 FT
05/10 15:30 LDDWL WLDLL — No data N/A — 0 – 3 FT
05/10 15:30 LWLWW LDLWL — No data N/A — 2 – 0 FT
05/10 15:30 DDWLL WLWLL — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
05/10 18:30 LLDDL DWWLD — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
05/10 18:30 WDDWL WWDWW — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
05/10 21:30 WLWWD WDLWL — No data N/A — 1 – 2 FT
03/10 15:30 LLWDW LDDWL — No data N/A — 2 – 0 FT
03/10 15:30 LLDDL WLDLL — No data N/A — 2 – 0 FT
03/10 18:30 WLWLL DLWDL — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
03/10 18:30 DWWLD DWDLW — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
03/10 21:30 LWLWW LLDLL — No data N/A — 2 – 1 FT
04/10 15:30 WDLWL WLLWW — No data N/A — 0 – 2 FT
04/10 21:30 DLDDW DLDDW — No data N/A — 2 – 1 FT
04/10 21:30 WWDWW WWLLL — No data N/A — 4 – 2 FT
04/10 21:30 WLWWD WDDWL — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
27/10 16:30 LWDLW DLWDW — No data N/A — 2 – 1 FT