Predictions → Italy Serie C - Girone C

SS Monopoli vs Cosenza

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Girone C - 13 • Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani • 🌧 16.7°C, 11 km/h rain

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available65.4% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available87.5% —
BTTS No Current price not available52.3% · Yes 47.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available47.2% · Over 52.8% —
Correct Score 2-0 Current price not available12.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

SS Monopoli · Home

SS Monopoli have won two of their last five and kept three clean sheets, including a 2-0 home win over Audace Cerignola (2-0). Their model expected goals of 2.02 for this fixture sit well above Cosenza's 0.77.

Cosenza · Away

Cosenza have scored just 5 goals across their last five matches and failed to score at home against Foggia (0-2). They did win 2-1 at AZ Picerno, showing they can find goals on the road.

Monopoli's H2H edge over Cosenza

The latest head-to-head is the strongest angle: SS Monopoli won 2-0 away at Cosenza on 5 Jan 2026 (0-2), and they also beat Cosenza 1-0 at home earlier in 17 Aug 2025 (1-0). The only blemish is the 2-2 draw between these sides (2-2), but Monopoli have taken two of the last three meetings. Cosenza's 5 goals in their last five matches further support a low-scoring home win, consistent with the Under 2.5 and No BTTS picks. The evidence supports SS Monopoli win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 22:47 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: SS Monopoli 2.02 – 0.77 Cosenza · expected total 2.80

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

SS Monopoli

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)0.80
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1400

Cosenza

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)2.10
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1342
SS MonopoliCosenza
Goals scored (season avg)
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.80
2.10
Best league winning streak this season
3
3
Elo strength rating
1400
1342

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

SS Monopoli

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
4/6

Cosenza

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone C

SS Monopoli

2nd best defence (0.80 conceded/game, season) Best clean sheets (7, season)

Cosenza

Worst attack (0.80 goals/game, season) 2nd worst defence (2.10 conceded/game, season) 2nd worst clean sheets (1, season)

Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone C teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

SS Monopoli at home · Cosenza away, the split that matters for this fixture.

SS Monopoli (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–0L
W 3
D 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)0.40
Clean sheets4
Failed to score1

Cosenza (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–4L
W 1
D 1
L 4
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2
SS Monopoli (home)Cosenza (away)
W 3
D 2
W 1
D 1
L 4
Played
5
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.40
2.50
Clean sheets
4
0
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–0
12.54%
1–0
11.43%
2–1
9.71%
3–0
8.46%
3–1
6.55%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Cosenza 1 win · 1 draw · SS Monopoli 3 wins · avg 2.2 goals · BTTS in 2 of 5

1
1
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
05 Jan 2026 Cosenza 0–2 SS Monopoli Serie C - Girone C
24 Aug 2025 SS Monopoli 2–2 Cosenza Serie C - Girone C
17 Aug 2025 SS Monopoli 1–0 Cosenza Coppa Italia Serie C
28 Oct 2020 Nuova Cosenza 2–1 SS Monopoli Coppa Italia
11 Aug 2019 SS Monopoli 1–0 Nuova Cosenza Coppa Italia

📈 Recent Form

SS Monopoli

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Barletta Away 0–0 D
25/10 Audace Cerignola Home 2–0 W
17/10 Inter U23 Away 4–2 W
10/10 Casertana Away 1–3 L
03/10 Savoia Home 0–0 D
27/09 Casarano Away 1–0 W
20/09 Crotone Home 2–2 D
15/09 Scafatese Away 0–0 D
12/09 Foggia Home 1–0 W
05/09 Potenza Away 0–1 L

Cosenza

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Inter U23 Home 1–0 W
24/10 Savoia Away 1–1 D
18/10 Team Altamura Home 1–3 L
12/10 AZ Picerno Away 2–1 W
04/10 Foggia Home 0–2 L
26/09 Bari Away 0–1 L
19/09 Scafatese Home 1–1 D
15/09 Giugliano Away 2–5 L
12/09 Cavese Home 0–0 D
07/09 Catania Away 0–4 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone C

SS Monopoli #6 · 19 pts ·  Cosenza #19 · 9 pts

SS Monopoli

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–4D–3L
W 5
D 4
L 3
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets7
Failed to score5
Yellow cards14
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Cosenza

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–7L
W 2
D 3
L 7
Played12
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Yellow cards24
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
SS MonopoliCosenza
W 5
D 4
L 3
W 2
D 3
L 7
Played
12
12
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
2.10
Clean sheets
7
1
Failed to score
5
4
Yellow cards
14
24
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

SS Monopoli

3
0-15
1
1
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Cosenza

1
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
6
46-60
2
3
61-75
2
7
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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