Potenza scored 2+ goals in 9 of their last 10 matches
Italy Serie C - Girone C Correct Score Football Predictions
Round 12 • 1 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
Serie A
Serie B
Serie C - Girone A
Campionato Primavera 1
Campionato Primavera 2
Coppa Italia Primavera
Coppa Italia Serie C
Coppa Italia Serie D
Serie A Women
Serie C - Girone B
Serie D - Girone A
Serie D - Girone B
Serie D - Girone C
Serie D - Girone D
Serie D - Girone E
Serie D - Girone F
Serie D - Girone G
Serie D - Girone H
Serie D - Girone I
Girone C, Round 12
Today - Monday, November 02
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Score | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:30 | WLDLL | WLLWW | 13.3% | 1-1 | Bet3656.50 | -13.6% | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — Serie C - Girone C for Correct Score
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Casarano's last 10 matches
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of SS Monopoli's last 10 matches
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Barletta's last 10 matches
Crotone have conceded 2+ goals in 6 of their last 10 matches
Sorrento have conceded 2+ goals in 6 of their last 10 matches
Inter U23 scored 2+ goals in 6 of their last 10 matches
Audace Cerignola kept a clean sheet in 6 of their last 10 matches
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 47.8% | 25.0% | 4 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% | 70.0% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 51.9% | 66.7% | 3 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 62.9% | 100.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 52.0% | 66.7% | 3 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 63.8% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% | 74.6% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 10.4% | 0.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 64.7% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 83.8% | 66.7% | 3 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 72.2% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 28.7% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Girone C, Round 8
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Score | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 21:30 | DLDWW | LDWDW | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 0 FT | |
| 04/10 15:30 | LWLWL | WLLWW | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 04/10 18:30 | LLDLL | WWLLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 3 – 0 FT | |
| 05/10 15:30 | DLDDW | LLWDW | — | No data | N/A | — | 3 – 2 FT | |
| 05/10 15:30 | LDDWL | WLDLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 3 FT | |
| 05/10 15:30 | LWLWW | LDLWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 0 FT | |
| 05/10 15:30 | DDWLL | WLWLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 05/10 18:30 | LLDDL | DWWLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 0 FT | |
| 05/10 18:30 | WDDWL | WWDWW | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 2 FT | |
| 05/10 21:30 | WLWWD | WDLWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 03/10 15:30 | LLWDW | LDDWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 0 FT | |
| 03/10 15:30 | LLDDL | WLDLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 0 FT | |
| 03/10 18:30 | WLWLL | DLWDL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 0 FT | |
| 03/10 18:30 | DWWLD | DWDLW | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 0 FT | |
| 03/10 21:30 | LWLWW | LLDLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 04/10 15:30 | WDLWL | WLLWW | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 2 FT | |
| 04/10 21:30 | DLDDW | DLDDW | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 04/10 21:30 | WWDWW | WWLLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 4 – 2 FT | |
| 04/10 21:30 | WLWWD | WDDWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 0 FT | |
| 27/10 16:30 | LWDLW | DLWDW | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT |