Casarano vs Foggia
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Mon, 02 Nov 2026 • 22:30 UTC+3 • Girone C - 12 • Stadio Giuseppe Capozza • ☁️ 13.2°C, 6 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw 3.25 → 3.3 ▲2% | BetVictor3.30 | 28.4% | -6.3% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.42 | 69.1% | -1.9% |
| BTTS | Yes | Bet3651.73 | 53.4% · No 46.6% | -7.6% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Betano1.88 | 51.1% · Over 48.9% | -3.9% |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Bet3656.50 | 13.3% | -13.6% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Casarano · Home
Casarano have scored just 3 goals across their last five matches, failing to score in three of them, including home blanks against Salernitana (0-0) and SS Monopoli (0-1). Their one recent win came away at Crotone (1-0), so the home venue has not been a reliable source of goals.
Foggia · Away
Foggia have won 3 of their last five, keeping clean sheets in all three victories, including 2-0 wins over Cosenza (2-0) and Sorrento (2-0). They failed to score in none of those matches, though both defeats saw them concede 3 goals.
Low-scoring pattern points to stalemate
The latest head-to-head saw Casarano win 2-1 at Foggia (1-2), but the earlier meeting in this fixture ended 0-2 to Foggia (0-2). Casarano's recent record of 3 goals in five matches and Foggia's 3 clean sheets in five suggest a tight contest rather than a open one. With the model expecting 1.54 goals for Casarano and 1.09 for Foggia, a single goal could settle it, and a share of the points is realistic. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Casarano 1.54 – 1.09 Foggia · expected total 2.63
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Casarano
Foggia
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone C
Casarano
Foggia
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone C teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Casarano at home · Foggia away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Casarano (home)
Foggia (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Casarano 2 wins · 1 draw · Foggia 1 win · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 2 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Foggia | 1–2 | Casarano | Serie C - Girone C |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Casarano | 0–2 | Foggia | Serie C - Girone C |
| 23 Feb 2020 | Casarano | 1–0 | Foggia | Serie D - Girone H |
| 20 Oct 2019 | Foggia | 1–1 | Casarano | Serie D - Girone H |
📈 Recent Form
Casarano
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Crotone | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Cavese | Away | 2–5 | L |
| 11/10 | Salernitana | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 03/10 | Sorrento | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 27/09 | SS Monopoli | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 19/09 | Savoia | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 15/09 | Audace Cerignola | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 11/09 | Barletta | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 05/09 | Bari | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 28/08 | Giugliano | Home | 4–3 | W |
Foggia
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Cavese | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 19/10 | Giugliano | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 11/10 | Potenza | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 04/10 | Cosenza | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Sorrento | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Inter U23 | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 15/09 | Savoia | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 12/09 | SS Monopoli | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 06/09 | Audace Cerignola | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 29/08 | Salernitana | Home | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone C
Casarano #15 · 14 pts · Foggia #14 · 14 pts
Casarano
Foggia
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Casarano
Foggia
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie C - Girone C predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws
Referee: G. M. Manzo