Italy Serie D - Girone G Predictions and Betting Tips

Round 11 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 2 hours ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
🔍 More Italy League Tips
Serie A Serie B Serie C - Girone A Campionato Primavera 1 Campionato Primavera 2 Coppa Italia Primavera Coppa Italia Serie C Coppa Italia Serie D Serie A Women Serie C - Girone B Serie C - Girone C Serie D - Girone A Serie D - Girone B Serie D - Girone C Serie D - Girone D Serie D - Girone E Serie D - Girone F Serie D - Girone H Serie D - Girone I

Group G, Round 11

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
16:30 WDWDL
Albalonga Albalonga vs Afragolese Afragolese
WDWDL 48.2% Home N/A — —
16:30 DWLWD
Città di Anagni Città di Anagni vs Budoni Budoni
WDLLL 45.8% Home N/A — —
16:30 LWDDL
Latte Dolce Latte Dolce vs Unipomezia Unipomezia
WDLDL 28.3% Draw N/A — —
16:30 LWLDL
Sarrabus Ogliastra Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese Paganese
DLLWL 25.7% Draw N/A — —
16:30 DDDWW
Anzio Anzio vs Gelbison Gelbison
DLLWL 46.3% Home N/A — —
16:30 DDLLL
Atletico Lodigiani Atletico Lodigiani vs Ossese Ossese
DDLDW 30% Draw N/A — —
16:30 LDLWW
Monastir Monastir vs Sarnese Sarnese
WLWWW 50.8% Home N/A — —
16:30 LWWWL
Aranova Aranova vs Venafro Venafro
DDWDW 53.4% Home N/A — —
16:30 LDDWD
Certosa V. Campagnano Certosa V. Campagnano vs Trastevere Trastevere
DWLDW 48.9% Home N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone G

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

PredictLix Serie D - Girone G Facts and Insights

League facts from all completed matches · Updated: November 2, 2026, 05:15 UTC

Results and goal volume

Metric Current2026/27 · 89 matches Previous2025/26 · 311 matches Change
Home wins 42.7% 38.3% +4.4 pp
Draws 31.5% 27.7% +3.8 pp
Away wins 25.8% 34.1% -8.3 pp
Total goals per match 2.83 2.68 +0.15
Home goals per match 1.58 1.40 +0.18
Away goals per match 1.25 1.28 -0.03
First-half goals per match 1.35 1.23 +0.12
Over 1.5 goals 78.7% 76.2% +2.5 pp
Over 2.5 goals 53.9% 48.2% +5.7 pp
Over 3.5 goals 34.8% 29.6% +5.2 pp

Scoring and match patterns

Metric Current2026/27 · 89 matches Previous2025/26 · 311 matches Change
Over 4.5 goals 15.7% 14.5% +1.2 pp
First-half Over 1.5 goals 43.0% 33.1% +9.9 pp
First-half both teams scored 22.1% 22.2% -0.1 pp
Both teams scored 60.7% 53.7% +7.0 pp
BTTS and Over 2.5 46.1% 40.2% +5.9 pp
Goalless draws (0–0) 9.0% 7.1% +1.9 pp
Home clean sheets 25.8% 27.0% -1.2 pp
Away clean sheets 22.5% 26.4% -3.9 pp
One-goal winning margins 37.1% 36.3% +0.8 pp
Second-half Over 1.5 goals 43.0% 43.5% -0.5 pp

pp = percentage points. Final scores are listed with the home team first. First-half sample: 2026/27: 86 matches with half-time scores.

Most common final scores

Twelve scorelines in descending current-season frequency, continuing from the first table to the second.

Final score Current season2026/27 Previous season2025/26 Change
1–1 14.6%13 of 89 13.5%42 of 311 +1.1 pp
2–1 13.5%12 of 89 6.8%21 of 311 +6.7 pp
0–0 9.0%8 of 89 7.1%22 of 311 +1.9 pp
2–2 7.9%7 of 89 5.1%16 of 311 +2.7 pp
0–1 6.7%6 of 89 9.6%30 of 311 -2.9 pp
3–1 6.7%6 of 89 4.2%13 of 311 +2.6 pp
Final score Current season2026/27 Previous season2025/26 Change
1–0 5.6%5 of 89 7.1%22 of 311 -1.5 pp
0–2 5.6%5 of 89 6.8%21 of 311 -1.1 pp
2–3 5.6%5 of 89 1.6%5 of 311 +4.0 pp
2–0 4.5%4 of 89 7.7%24 of 311 -3.2 pp
3–0 3.4%3 of 89 3.2%10 of 311 +0.2 pp
4–0 3.4%3 of 89 1.3%4 of 311 +2.1 pp

Five key insights from the season data

  • Home wins are 42.7% this season versus 38.3% last season, while away wins fell from 34.1% to 25.8%; the shift toward home results could reflect more cautious away openings that leave hosts controlling territory and game state.
  • Both teams scored in 60.7% of matches this season versus 53.7% last season, with first-half BTTS essentially unchanged at 22.1% versus 22.2%; one possible explanation is that goals are arriving more often after halftime as matches open up, rather than both sides trading early strikes.
  • First-half Over 1.5 goals rose to 43.0% this season from 33.1% last season, a much larger early-goal pattern than the small first-half BTTS change; this could point to one side scoring twice before the break more often, perhaps through faster transitions against stretched shapes.
  • Over 3.5 goals is 34.8% this season versus 29.6% last season, and Over 2.5 also climbed from 48.2% to 53.9%; one possible explanation is that matches are opening up after an early goal, with trailing sides committing more players forward.
  • Away clean sheets dropped to 22.5% this season from 26.4% last season, consistent with the lower away-win share; this may reflect away sides conceding more often when chasing game states, though some regression toward last season's rate is possible over the remaining matches.

AI-selected and written from the verified figures above · Published: November 1, 2026, 19:16 UTC

Current Standings

Serie D - Girone G · 2026/27

Updated: Nov 2, 2026, 00:00 UTC
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1
Sarnese Leader
 10 7 2 1 16 8 +8 23
W L W W W
2
Monastir
10 5 2 3 25 19 +6 17
L D L W W
3
Certosa V. Campagnano
10 5 2 3 15 10 +5 17
L D W D W
4
Unipomezia
10 4 4 2 19 13 +6 16
W D L D W
5
Albalonga
10 4 4 2 16 12 +4 16
W D W D L
6
Aranova
10 4 3 3 15 15 0 15
L W W W L
7
Trastevere
9 4 3 2 13 16 -3 15
D W L D W
8
Paganese
10 4 2 4 19 13 +6 14
D L L W L
9
Afragolese
10 3 5 2 13 8 +5 14
W D W D L
10
Ossese
10 3 5 2 14 11 +3 14
D D L D W
11
Città di Anagni
10 4 2 4 13 14 -1 14
D W L W D
12
Anzio
9 3 4 2 8 6 +2 13
D D D W W
13
Budoni
10 3 2 5 17 23 -6 11
W D L L L
14
Gelbison
10 3 2 5 11 17 -6 11
D L W L L
15
Venafro
10 2 4 4 8 13 -5 10
D D W D W
16
Sarrabus Ogliastra
10 2 3 5 10 13 -3 9
L W L D L
17
Latte Dolce
10 1 4 5 10 17 -7 7
L D D L W
18
Atletico Lodigiani
10 0 3 7 10 24 -14 3
D D L L L

League-only form: five most recent matches in this competition, newest first. Prediction tables show form across all competitions.

The current season is still in progress; the previous season is complete. Possible explanations are hypotheses based on score patterns, not verified causes. Regression towards last season’s level is a scenario, not a prediction.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

7 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
42.9% 3/7
⚽ Both Teams to Score
57.1% 4/7
📈 Over / Under 2.5
57.1% 4/7
🔢 Correct Score
14.3% 1/7
🛡️ Double Chance
100.0% 7/7
🤝 Draw Predictions
100.0% 1/1
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
33.3% 2/6
📌 1X2 · draw picks
100.0% 1/1

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 42.9% 3/7
⚽ Both Teams to Score 57.1% 4/7
📈 Over / Under 2.5 57.1% 4/7
🛡️ Double Chance 100.0% 7/7
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 43.8% 33.3% 6 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 65.8% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 55.0% 60.0% 5 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 74.9% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 67.3% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 53.2% 60.0% 5 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 75.6% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 65.5% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 9.8% 14.3% 7 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.9% 100.0% 4 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 85.9% 100.0% 2 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 69.4% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 29.0% 100.0% 1 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Group G, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
01/11 16:30 DWLDW
Trastevere Trastevere vs Atletico Lodigiani Atletico Lodigiani
DDLLL — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WDWDL
Albalonga Albalonga vs Sarrabus Ogliastra Sarrabus Ogliastra
LWLDL — No data N/A — 4 – 2 FT
02/11 16:00 DLWDW
Scafatese Scafatese vs Latte Dolce Latte Dolce
LWDDL — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 -----
Olbia Olbia vs Ischia Ischia
WDLWD — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 LLLLW
Nocerina Nocerina vs Cassino Cassino
----- — No data N/A — 2 – 0 FT
02/11 16:30 -----
Montespaccato Montespaccato vs Budoni Budoni
WDLLL — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 LDWLW
USD Palmese USD Palmese vs Real Monterotondo Real Monterotondo
----- — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 DDDWW
Anzio Anzio vs Valmontone Valmontone
----- — No data N/A — 0 – 3 FT
02/11 16:30 LDLWW
Monastir Monastir vs Flaminia Flaminia
WDDLL — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
31/10 16:30 WDWDL
Afragolese Afragolese vs Aranova Aranova
LWWWL — No data N/A — 4 – 1 FT
01/11 16:00 DLLWL
Paganese Paganese vs Ossese Ossese
DDLDW 44.9% Home ❌ N/A — 1 – 1 FT
01/11 16:00 WLWWW
Sarnese Sarnese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra Sarrabus Ogliastra
LWLDL 65.8% Home ✅ @1.40Betano -7.9% 2 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WDLLL
Budoni Budoni vs Certosa V. Campagnano Certosa V. Campagnano
LDDWD 45.2% Away ❌ N/A — 3 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 DLLWL
Gelbison Gelbison vs Atletico Lodigiani Atletico Lodigiani
DDLLL 59.7% Home ❌ @1.541xBet -8.1% 1 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 DDWDW
Venafro Venafro vs Città di Anagni Città di Anagni
DWLWD 29% Draw ✅ N/A — 1 – 1 FT
01/11 17:00 LWDDL
Latte Dolce Latte Dolce vs Albalonga Albalonga
WDWDL 42.9% Home ❌ N/A — 0 – 2 FT
01/11 17:00 WDLDL
Unipomezia Unipomezia vs Monastir Monastir
LDLWW 41.1% Home ✅ N/A — 4 – 2 FT