Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone G

Albalonga vs Afragolese

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group G - 11 • ☁️ 16.5°C, 13 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available48.2% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available76.2% —
BTTS No Current price not available48.7% · Yes 51.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available53.1% · Over 46.9% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available10.8% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Albalonga 48.2% · Draw 28.1% · Afragolese 23.7%. Selected outcome: Albalonga win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Albalonga 1.54, Afragolese 1.01, expected total 2.55.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Albalonga: D-W-D-L-L in their last five matches.
Afragolese: W-D-W-D-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Albalonga

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1397

Afragolese

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)0.80
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1397
AlbalongaAfragolese
Goals scored (season avg)
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.30
0.80
Best league winning streak this season
3
1
Elo strength rating
1397
1397

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Albalonga

Unbeaten 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Afragolese

Unbeaten 4
BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
2/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone G

Albalonga

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Afragolese

2nd best defence (0.80 conceded/game, season) 2nd worst BTTS rate (17%, last 6) Best clean sheets (6, season)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone G teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Albalonga at home · Afragolese away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Albalonga (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–3D–1L
W 1
D 3
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2

Afragolese (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–4D–1L
D 4
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets4
Failed to score5
Albalonga (home)Afragolese (away)
W 1
D 3
L 1
D 4
L 1
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
0.80
Clean sheets
1
4
Failed to score
2
5

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
10.77%
2–1
9.36%
2–0
9.24%
3–1
4.81%
3–0
4.74%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Albalonga

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Latte Dolce Away 2–0 W
25/10 Unipomezia Home 1–1 D
18/10 Budoni Away 4–2 W
11/10 Certosa V. Campagnano Home 0–0 D
07/10 Certosa V. Campagnano Away 1–4 L
04/10 Anzio Home 0–2 L
27/09 Monastir Away 2–2 D
20/09 Sarrabus Ogliastra Home 1–1 D
16/09 Aranova Away 0–1 L
12/09 Città di Anagni Home 3–1 W

Afragolese

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Aranova Home 4–1 W
25/10 Anzio Away 0–0 D
17/10 Atletico Lodigiani Home 4–0 W
11/10 Sarrabus Ogliastra Away 0–0 D
04/10 Ossese Home 0–2 L
27/09 Città di Anagni Away 0–4 L
20/09 Venafro Home 4–0 W
16/09 Paganese Away 0–0 D
12/09 Sarnese Home 1–1 D
06/09 Gelbison Away 0–0 D

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone G

Albalonga #5 · 16 pts ·  Afragolese #9 · 14 pts

Albalonga

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–4D–2L
W 4
D 4
L 2
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Afragolese

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–5D–2L
W 3
D 5
L 2
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets6
Failed to score6
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
AlbalongaAfragolese
W 4
D 4
L 2
W 3
D 5
L 2
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
0.80
Clean sheets
1
6
Failed to score
3
6
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Albalonga

3
0-15
16-30
4
1
31-45
4
46-60
2
4
61-75
3
76-90
5
scored conceded

Afragolese

3
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
61-75
4
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone G predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws