Monastir scored 2+ goals in 9 of their last 10 matches
Italy Serie D - Girone G Correct Score Football Predictions
Round 11 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
Serie A
Serie B
Serie C - Girone A
Campionato Primavera 1
Campionato Primavera 2
Coppa Italia Primavera
Coppa Italia Serie C
Coppa Italia Serie D
Serie A Women
Serie C - Girone B
Serie C - Girone C
Serie D - Girone A
Serie D - Girone B
Serie D - Girone C
Serie D - Girone D
Serie D - Girone E
Serie D - Girone F
Serie D - Girone H
Serie D - Girone I
Group G, Round 11
Sunday, November 08
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Score | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | WDWDL | WDWDL | 10.8% | 1-0 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | DWLWD | WDLLL | 9.4% | 2-1 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LWDDL | WDLDL | 13.5% | 1-1 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LWLDL | DLLWL | 11.6% | 1-1 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | DDDWW | DLLWL | 11.6% | 1-0 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | DDLLL | DDLDW | 14.3% | 1-1 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LDLWW | WLWWW | 9.3% | 2-1 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LWWWL | DDWDW | 10.7% | 1-0 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LDDWD | DWLDW | 9.5% | 2-1 | N/A | — | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone G for Correct Score
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
Budoni have conceded 2+ goals in 8 of their last 10 matches
Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Venafro's last 10 matches
Unipomezia scored 2+ goals in 7 of their last 10 matches
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Anzio's last 10 matches
Atletico Lodigiani have conceded 2+ goals in 6 of their last 10 matches
Afragolese kept a clean sheet in 6 of their last 10 matches
Under 2.5 goals in 6 of Sarrabus Ogliastra's last 10 matches
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 43.8% | 33.3% | 6 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 65.8% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 55.0% | 60.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 70-79% | 74.9% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 67.3% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 53.2% | 60.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% | 75.6% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 65.5% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 7 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 74.9% | 100.0% | 4 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 85.9% | 100.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 69.4% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 29.0% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Group G, Round 10
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Score | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 16:30 | DWLDW | DDLLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WDWDL | LWLDL | — | No data | N/A | — | 4 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 16:00 | DLWDW | LWDDL | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | ----- | WDLWD | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | LLLLW | ----- | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 0 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | ----- | WDLLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 1 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | LDWLW | ----- | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | DDDWW | ----- | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 3 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | LDLWW | WDDLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 2 FT | |
| 31/10 16:30 | WDWDL | LWWWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 4 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 16:00 | DLLWL | DDLDW | 9.5% | 1-0 ❌ | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 16:00 | WLWWW | LWLDL | 10% | 2-1 ❌ | N/A | — | 2 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WDLLL | LDDWD | 9.3% | 1-2 ❌ | N/A | — | 3 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | DLLWL | DDLLL | 9.9% | 2-1 ❌ | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | DDWDW | DWLWD | 13.8% | 1-1 ✅ | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 17:00 | LWDDL | WDWDL | 7.8% | 2-1 ❌ | N/A | — | 0 – 2 FT | |
| 01/11 17:00 | WDLDL | LDLWW | 8.6% | 2-1 ❌ | N/A | — | 4 – 2 FT |