Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone G

Aranova vs Venafro

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group G - 11

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available53.4% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available79.8% —
BTTS No Current price not available48.3% · Yes 51.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available50.4% · Over 49.6% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available10.7% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Aranova 53.4% · Draw 26.4% · Venafro 20.2%. Selected outcome: Aranova win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Aranova 1.70, Venafro 0.96, expected total 2.66.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Aranova: L-W-W-W-L in their last five matches.
Venafro: D-W-D-W-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Aranova

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1361

Venafro

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1360
AranovaVenafro
Goals scored (season avg)
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
1.30
Best league winning streak this season
3
1
Elo strength rating
1361
1360

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Aranova

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Venafro

Unbeaten 5
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone G

Aranova

2nd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6) 3rd best Over 2.5 rate (67%, last 6)

Venafro

Worst attack (0.80 goals/game, season) 2nd worst Over 2.5 rate (17%, last 6)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone G teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Aranova at home · Venafro away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Aranova (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–0L
W 3
D 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)0.40
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1

Venafro (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–3D–1L
W 1
D 3
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Aranova (home)Venafro (away)
W 3
D 2
W 1
D 3
L 1
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
0.40
1.40
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
10.73%
2–0
10.09%
2–1
9.72%
3–0
5.71%
3–1
5.5%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Aranova

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Afragolese Away 1–4 L
25/10 Sarnese Home 2–1 W
18/10 Unipomezia Away 4–3 W
11/10 Trastevere Home 2–0 W
04/10 Certosa V. Campagnano Away 1–2 L
27/09 Latte Dolce Home 1–1 D
20/09 Monastir Away 1–2 L
16/09 Albalonga Home 1–0 W
12/09 Budoni Away 2–2 D
06/09 Anzio Home 0–0 D

Venafro

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Città di Anagni Home 1–1 D
25/10 Atletico Lodigiani Away 1–1 D
18/10 Paganese Home 1–0 W
11/10 Ossese Away 1–1 D
04/10 Gelbison Away 1–0 W
27/09 Budoni Home 2–3 L
20/09 Afragolese Away 0–4 L
16/09 Sarnese Home 0–1 L
13/09 Unipomezia Away 1–1 D
06/09 Trastevere Home 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone G

Aranova #6 · 15 pts ·  Venafro #15 · 10 pts

Aranova

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–3L
W 4
D 3
L 3
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Venafro

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–4D–4L
W 2
D 4
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
AranovaVenafro
W 4
D 3
L 3
W 2
D 4
L 4
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.30
Clean sheets
3
2
Failed to score
1
3
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Aranova

2
0-15
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
7
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
4
76-90
2
scored conceded

Venafro

2
0-15
1
16-30
2
31-45
2
4
46-60
1
3
61-75
1
2
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone G predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws