Italy Serie D - Girone G Draw Football Predictions

Round 11 • 3 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
🔍 More Italy League Tips
Serie A Serie B Serie C - Girone A Campionato Primavera 1 Campionato Primavera 2 Coppa Italia Primavera Coppa Italia Serie C Coppa Italia Serie D Serie A Women Serie C - Girone B Serie C - Girone C Serie D - Girone A Serie D - Girone B Serie D - Girone C Serie D - Girone D Serie D - Girone E Serie D - Girone F Serie D - Girone H Serie D - Girone I

Group G, Round 11

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
16:30 LWDDL
Latte Dolce Latte Dolce vs Unipomezia Unipomezia
WDLDL 28.3% Draw N/A — —
16:30 LWLDL
Sarrabus Ogliastra Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese Paganese
DLLWL 25.7% Draw N/A — —
16:30 DDLLL
Atletico Lodigiani Atletico Lodigiani vs Ossese Ossese
DDLDW 30% Draw N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone G for Draws

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

7 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
42.9% 3/7
⚽ Both Teams to Score
57.1% 4/7
📈 Over / Under 2.5
57.1% 4/7
🔢 Correct Score
14.3% 1/7
🛡️ Double Chance
100.0% 7/7
🤝 Draw Predictions
100.0% 1/1
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
33.3% 2/6
📌 1X2 · draw picks
100.0% 1/1

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 42.9% 3/7
⚽ Both Teams to Score 57.1% 4/7
📈 Over / Under 2.5 57.1% 4/7
🛡️ Double Chance 100.0% 7/7
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 43.8% 33.3% 6 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 65.8% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 55.0% 60.0% 5 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 74.9% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 67.3% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 53.2% 60.0% 5 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 75.6% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 65.5% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 9.8% 14.3% 7 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.9% 100.0% 4 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 85.9% 100.0% 2 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 69.4% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 29.0% 100.0% 1 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Group G, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
01/11 16:30 DDWDW
Venafro Venafro vs Città di Anagni Città di Anagni
DWLWD 29% Draw ✅ N/A — 1 – 1 FT