Italy Serie D - Girone G Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions

Round 11 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

Group G, Round 11

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
16:30 WDWDL WDWDL 53.1% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 DWLWD WDLLL 54.5% Over 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LWDDL WDLDL 49.9% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LWLDL DLLWL 38.8% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 DDDWW DLLWL 56.8% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 DDLLL DDLDW 55.8% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LDLWW WLWWW 67% Over 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LWWWL DDWDW 50.4% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LDDWD DWLDW 61.3% Over 2.5 N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

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Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

7 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
42.9% 3/7
⚽ Both Teams to Score
57.1% 4/7
📈 Over / Under 2.5
57.1% 4/7
🔢 Correct Score
14.3% 1/7
🛡️ Double Chance
100.0% 7/7
🤝 Draw Predictions
100.0% 1/1
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
33.3% 2/6
📌 1X2 · draw picks
100.0% 1/1

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 42.9% 3/7
⚽ Both Teams to Score 57.1% 4/7
📈 Over / Under 2.5 57.1% 4/7
🛡️ Double Chance 100.0% 7/7
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 43.8% 33.3% 6 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 65.8% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 55.0% 60.0% 5 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 74.9% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 67.3% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 53.2% 60.0% 5 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 75.6% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 65.5% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 9.8% 14.3% 7 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.9% 100.0% 4 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 85.9% 100.0% 2 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 69.4% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 29.0% 100.0% 1 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Group G, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
01/11 16:30 DWLDW DDLLL — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WDWDL LWLDL — No data N/A — 4 – 2 FT
02/11 16:00 DLWDW LWDDL — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 ----- WDLWD — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 LLLLW ----- — No data N/A — 2 – 0 FT
02/11 16:30 ----- WDLLL — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 LDWLW ----- — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 DDDWW ----- — No data N/A — 0 – 3 FT
02/11 16:30 LDLWW WDDLL — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
31/10 16:30 WDWDL LWWWL — No data N/A — 4 – 1 FT
01/11 16:00 DLLWL DDLDW 50.5% Under 2.5 ✅ N/A — 1 – 1 FT
01/11 16:00 WLWWW LWLDL 53.7% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.831xBet -1.7% 2 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WDLLL LDDWD 56.6% Over 2.5 ✅ N/A — 3 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 DLLWL DDLLL 52.2% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.851xBet -3.4% 1 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 DDWDW DWLWD 52.8% Under 2.5 ✅ N/A — 1 – 1 FT
01/11 17:00 LWDDL WDWDL 75.6% Over 2.5 ❌ N/A — 0 – 2 FT
01/11 17:00 WDLDL LDLWW 65.5% Over 2.5 ✅ N/A — 4 – 2 FT