Luparense are unbeaten in their last 10 matches
Italy Serie D - Girone C Predictions and Betting Tips
Round 10 • 1 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
Serie A
Serie B
Serie C - Girone A
Campionato Primavera 1
Campionato Primavera 2
Coppa Italia Primavera
Coppa Italia Serie C
Coppa Italia Serie D
Serie A Women
Serie C - Girone B
Serie C - Girone C
Serie D - Girone A
Serie D - Girone B
Serie D - Girone D
Serie D - Girone E
Serie D - Girone F
Serie D - Girone G
Serie D - Girone H
Serie D - Girone I
Group C, Round 10
Today - Monday, November 02
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:00 | WDWWW | LLWWW | 49.3% | Home | Betano2.10 | +3.5% | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone C
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
Sandona are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
In their 10 most recent matches, Brian Lignano have achieved just 1 win
Clodiense are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
In their 10 most recent matches, Calvi Noale have achieved just 2 wins
Cjarlins Muzane are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
In their 10 most recent matches, Altavilla have achieved just 2 wins
In their 10 most recent matches, Schio have achieved just 2 wins
PredictLix Serie D - Girone C Facts and Insights
League facts from all completed matches · Updated: November 2, 2026, 05:15 UTC
Results and goal volume
| Metric | Current2026/27 · 89 matches | Previous2025/26 · 312 matches | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | 38.2% | 39.7% | -1.5 pp |
| Draws | 28.1% | 29.8% | -1.7 pp |
| Away wins | 33.7% | 30.4% | +3.3 pp |
| Total goals per match | 2.44 | 2.32 | +0.12 |
| Home goals per match | 1.30 | 1.22 | +0.08 |
| Away goals per match | 1.13 | 1.10 | +0.03 |
| First-half goals per match | 1.22 | 1.02 | +0.20 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.5% | 67.9% | +0.6 pp |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.8% | 40.4% | +3.4 pp |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.6% | 22.8% | +0.8 pp |
Scoring and match patterns
| Metric | Current2026/27 · 89 matches | Previous2025/26 · 312 matches | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 goals | 11.2% | 9.0% | +2.2 pp |
| First-half Over 1.5 goals | 30.3% | 27.2% | +3.1 pp |
| First-half both teams scored | 16.9% | 15.7% | +1.2 pp |
| Both teams scored | 46.1% | 48.1% | -2.0 pp |
| BTTS and Over 2.5 | 33.7% | 33.3% | +0.4 pp |
| Goalless draws (0–0) | 11.2% | 10.6% | +0.6 pp |
| Home clean sheets | 30.3% | 35.6% | -5.3 pp |
| Away clean sheets | 34.8% | 26.9% | +7.9 pp |
| One-goal winning margins | 39.3% | 38.8% | +0.5 pp |
| Second-half Over 1.5 goals | 33.7% | 41.0% | -7.3 pp |
pp = percentage points. Final scores are listed with the home team first.
Most common final scores
Twelve scorelines in descending current-season frequency, continuing from the first table to the second.
| Final score | Current season2026/27 | Previous season2025/26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.4%11 of 89 | 14.7%46 of 312 | -2.4 pp |
| 0–1 | 12.4%11 of 89 | 8.3%26 of 312 | +4.0 pp |
| 0–0 | 11.2%10 of 89 | 10.6%33 of 312 | +0.7 pp |
| 2–1 | 10.1%9 of 89 | 8.3%26 of 312 | +1.8 pp |
| 1–0 | 7.9%7 of 89 | 13.1%41 of 312 | -5.3 pp |
| 0–2 | 7.9%7 of 89 | 5.8%18 of 312 | +2.1 pp |
| Final score | Current season2026/27 | Previous season2025/26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2–0 | 4.5%4 of 89 | 7.1%22 of 312 | -2.6 pp |
| 1–2 | 4.5%4 of 89 | 5.8%18 of 312 | -1.3 pp |
| 2–2 | 4.5%4 of 89 | 4.2%13 of 312 | +0.3 pp |
| 3–0 | 3.4%3 of 89 | 2.6%8 of 312 | +0.8 pp |
| 3–2 | 3.4%3 of 89 | 1.9%6 of 312 | +1.4 pp |
| 4–1 | 3.4%3 of 89 | 1.0%3 of 312 | +2.4 pp |
Five key insights from the season data
- Away wins are 33.7% this season versus 30.4% last season, while home wins slipped slightly to 38.2% from 39.7%. One possible explanation is that away sides are more willing to commit numbers forward in transition, which could tilt tight matches toward the visiting team.
- First-half goals are 1.22 per match this season versus 1.02 last season, with first-half Over 1.5 rising to 30.3% from 27.2%. This pattern could reflect more aggressive early pressing or less cautious opening approaches, producing goals before half-time rather than late.
- Both teams scored in 46.1% of matches this season versus 48.1% last season, even as total goals per match rose to 2.44 from 2.32. One possible explanation is that scoring is concentrating in one side per match, perhaps through game-state effects where an early goal lets the leading team control the rest of the contest.
- Away clean sheets are 34.8% this season versus 26.9% last season, while home clean sheets fell to 30.3% from 35.6%. This could reflect away sides defending with a deeper, more compact block that limits home scoring without preventing the away team from finding goals itself.
- Second-half Over 1.5 goals dropped to 33.7% this season from 41.0% last season, even though first-half scoring increased. One possible explanation is that matches are opening up earlier and then slowing after the break, which may reflect game-state effects rather than a lasting shift; a cautious regression towards last season's second-half levels is possible for remaining matches.
AI-selected and written from the verified figures above · Published: November 1, 2026, 17:16 UTC
Current Standings
Serie D - Girone C · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | +12 | 24 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 2 |
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 5 | +12 | 20 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
| 3 |
|
10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
| 4 |
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 17 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
| 5 |
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 17 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
| 6 |
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 16 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 7 |
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 15 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
| 8 |
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 14 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
| 9 |
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 13 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 10 |
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 11 |
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
| 12 |
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 12 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 13 |
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 11 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
| 14 |
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
| 15 |
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 10 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
| 16 |
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 17 |
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
| 18 |
|
10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
League-only form: five most recent matches in this competition, newest first. Prediction tables show form across all competitions.
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 45.2% | 57.1% | 7 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 66.7% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 51.4% | 50.0% | 8 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 52.1% | 50.0% | 8 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 11.3% | 0.0% | 8 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 74.5% | 100.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 84.3% | 50.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 67.2% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 28.7% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Group C, Round 9
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 16:30 | LLWWW | DWLWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 26/10 16:30 | WDLWL | ----- | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 26/10 16:30 | ----- | WWLLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 3 FT | |
| 26/10 16:30 | WWWWL | ----- | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 26/10 16:30 | WDWWW | LWWLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 1 FT | |
| 26/10 16:30 | DDWWL | DDDWW | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 26/10 16:30 | ----- | LWWLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 3 FT | |
| 26/10 16:30 | LDLLL | DDWLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 1 FT | |
| 26/10 16:30 | DLLLW | DDLWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 25/10 16:30 | WLWLW | WWLLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 2 FT | |
| 25/10 16:30 | LLWWW | DWDWW | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 3 FT | |
| 25/10 16:30 | WDLWL | WDWWW | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 2 FT | |
| 25/10 16:30 | DDLWL | LDLLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 25/10 16:30 | DLLLW | LWWLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 1 FT | |
| 25/10 16:30 | DDWLD | DDDWW | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 0 FT | |
| 25/10 16:30 | DWLWL | LLLWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 25/10 17:00 | WWWWL | DLWLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 3 – 2 FT | |
| 25/10 17:00 | LDLWL | DDWWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT |