Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group C - 11 • Stadio Rino Mercante • ☁️ 12°C, 1 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 39.5% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 70.8% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 71.3% · Yes 28.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 81.3% · Over 18.7% | — |
| Correct Score | 0-0 | Current price not available | 23.9% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Bassano Virtus · Home
Bassano Virtus have won three of their last five, though the two defeats came in the two most recent matches, including 0-3 at home to Sandona. Their model expected goals for this fixture is 0.76.
Calvi Noale · Away
Calvi Noale have one win in five and failed to score in two of those matches, but they drew 2-2 at Luparense and won 3-1 at Virtus Bolzano. Their model expected goals for this fixture is 0.72.
Low-scoring H2H points to stalemate
The latest head-to-head ended 0-1 to Calvi Noale, but the two before it were 0-0 and 1-1, and all three meetings produced two goals or fewer. Bassano's recent record includes three clean sheets in five, while Calvi Noale kept none but were shut out twice. With model expected goals of 0.76 and 0.72, a tight, low-scoring contest fits the evidence, consistent with the Under 2.5 and No BTTS picks. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Bassano Virtus 0.76 – 0.72 Calvi Noale · expected total 1.48
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Bassano Virtus
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Bassano Virtus
Calvi Noale
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone C
Bassano Virtus
Calvi Noale
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone C teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Bassano Virtus at home · Calvi Noale away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Bassano Virtus (home)
Calvi Noale (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Bassano Virtus 0 wins · 2 draws · Calvi Noale 2 wins · avg 1 goals · BTTS in 1 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May 2026 | Bassano Virtus | 0–1 | Calvi Noale | Serie D - Girone C |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Calvi Noale | 0–0 | Bassano Virtus | Serie D - Girone C |
| 02 Feb 2025 | Bassano Virtus | 1–1 | Calvi Noale | Serie D - Girone C |
| 06 Oct 2024 | Calvi Noale | 1–0 | Bassano Virtus | Serie D - Girone C |
📈 Recent Form
Bassano Virtus
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Sandona | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 18/10 | Virtus Bolzano | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Brian Lignano | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Legnago Salus | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Schio | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Triestina | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 16/09 | Mestre | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 13/09 | Conegliano | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 06/09 | LME | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 03/05 | Calvi Noale | Home | 0–1 | L |
Calvi Noale
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Luparense | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 25/10 | Este | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 17/10 | Clodiense | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 11/10 | Sandona | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 04/10 | Virtus Bolzano | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 27/09 | Brian Lignano | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 20/09 | Legnago Salus | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Schio | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 13/09 | Triestina | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 06/09 | Mestre | Home | 0–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone C
Bassano Virtus #10 · 12 pts · Calvi Noale #16 · 9 pts
Bassano Virtus
Calvi Noale
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Bassano Virtus
Calvi Noale
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone C predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws