Italy Serie D - Girone C Draw Football Predictions

Round 11 • 3 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
🔍 More Italy League Tips
Serie A Serie B Serie C - Girone A Campionato Primavera 1 Campionato Primavera 2 Coppa Italia Primavera Coppa Italia Serie C Coppa Italia Serie D Serie A Women Serie C - Girone B Serie C - Girone C Serie D - Girone A Serie D - Girone B Serie D - Girone D Serie D - Girone E Serie D - Girone F Serie D - Girone G Serie D - Girone H Serie D - Girone I

Group C, Round 11

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
16:30 LLWWW
Bassano Virtus Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale Calvi Noale
DLLLW 39.5% Draw N/A — —
16:30 WWLLL
Mestre Mestre vs Legnago Salus Legnago Salus
DDWWL 27.7% Draw N/A — —
16:30 DDLWL
FC Obermais FC Obermais vs Sandona Sandona
DWDWW 27.6% Draw N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone C for Draws

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

8 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
50.0% 4/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score
50.0% 4/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5
50.0% 4/8
🔢 Correct Score
0.0% 0/8
🛡️ Double Chance
87.5% 7/8
🤝 Draw Predictions
100.0% 1/1
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
42.9% 3/7
📌 1X2 · draw picks
100.0% 1/1

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 50.0% 4/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score 50.0% 4/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5 50.0% 4/8
🛡️ Double Chance 87.5% 7/8
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 45.2% 57.1% 7 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 66.7% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 51.4% 50.0% 8 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 52.1% 50.0% 8 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 11.3% 0.0% 8 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.5% 100.0% 5 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 84.3% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 67.2% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 28.7% 100.0% 1 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Group C, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
01/11 16:30 DLWLL
Virtus Bolzano Virtus Bolzano vs FC Obermais FC Obermais
DDLWL 28.7% Draw ✅ @3.201xBet -8.2% 0 – 0 FT