Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone C

Altavilla vs Este

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group C - 11

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available41.3% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available70.8% —
BTTS No Current price not available48% · Yes 52% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available54.1% · Over 45.9% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available9.9% —

🧠 Match Preview

Altavilla · Home

Altavilla's recent run is built on clean sheets rather than goals: three shutouts in five matches, including 0-0 draws with Sandona and Luparense, and they failed to score in three of those five. Their model expected goals of 1.38 is modest but enough against an Este side that has scored just twice in five.

Este · Away

Este's five matches produced only two goals for and four against, with three scorelines of 1-0 or 0-1 and two clean sheets of their own. They failed to score in three of those five, so the away threat is limited.

Tight margins favour Altavilla

The latest head-to-head, on 11 January 2026, finished 1-0 to Este, while the earlier meeting at Altavilla ended 2-2. Altavilla's five-match record of 4 goals for and 3 against, with three clean sheets and three failures to score, points to a low-scoring home profile. Este's 2 goals for and 4 against across five matches fits the same pattern, and the model's 1-0 correct score at 9.9% sits alongside Under 2.5 at 54.1%. The evidence supports Altavilla win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Altavilla 1.38 – 1.13 Este · expected total 2.51

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Altavilla

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1490

Este

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)0.70
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1599
AltavillaEste
Goals scored (season avg)
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.10
0.70
Best league winning streak this season
3
3
Elo strength rating
1490
1599

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Altavilla

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
4/6

Este

BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone C

Altavilla

3rd best attack (1.80 goals/game, season)

Este

3rd best defence (0.70 conceded/game, season)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone C teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Altavilla at home · Este away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Altavilla (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–2L
W 1
D 2
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2

Este (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–2L
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.40
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Altavilla (home)Este (away)
W 1
D 2
L 2
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
0.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
0.40
Clean sheets
2
3
Failed to score
2
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
9.94%
2–1
8.76%
2–0
7.75%
3–1
4.04%
3–0
3.57%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Altavilla 0 wins · 1 draw · Este 1 win · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 1 of 2

1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
11 Jan 2026 Este 1–0 Altavilla Serie D - Girone C
13 Sep 2025 Altavilla 2–2 Este Serie D - Girone C

📈 Recent Form

Altavilla

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Sandona Away 0–0 D
25/10 Luparense Home 0–0 D
18/10 Brian Lignano Away 2–0 W
11/10 Clodiense Home 0–1 L
03/10 Schio Away 2–2 D
27/09 Virtus Bolzano Home 7–0 W
20/09 Mestre Away 2–3 L
16/09 Legnago Salus Home 2–3 L
13/09 LME Away 0–0 D
06/09 Triestina Home 1–1 D

Este

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Triestina Home 0–1 L
25/10 Calvi Noale Away 1–0 W
18/10 LME Home 1–0 W
11/10 Luparense Away 0–1 L
07/10 Caldiero Terme Home 0–2 L
04/10 Conegliano Home 2–1 W
27/09 Sandona Away 0–0 D
20/09 Cjarlins Muzane Home 1–2 L
16/09 Clodiense Away 0–1 L
13/09 FC Obermais Home 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone C

Altavilla #13 · 11 pts ·  Este #9 · 13 pts

Altavilla

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–5D–3L
W 2
D 5
L 3
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets4
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Este

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–5L
W 4
D 1
L 5
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets4
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
AltavillaEste
W 2
D 5
L 3
W 4
D 1
L 5
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
0.70
Clean sheets
4
4
Failed to score
3
4
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Altavilla

1
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
1
31-45
4
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Este

1
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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