Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone C

Conegliano vs Brian Lignano

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group C - 11

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available58.7% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available90.1% —
BTTS No Current price not available76.7% · Yes 23.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available77.2% · Over 22.8% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available23.7% —

🧠 Match Preview

Conegliano · Home

Conegliano have won both meetings with Brian Lignano, 1-0 at home and 0-1 away, and are unbeaten in the latest head-to-head. Their recent record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses includes home wins over Schio and Mestre by 2-1.

Brian Lignano · Away

Brian Lignano have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last five, with 3 goals scored and 9 conceded, and they failed to score in 2 of those matches. Their only point came in a 1-1 draw at FC Obermais.

Conegliano's H2H edge

The two most recent meetings both went Conegliano's way, 1-0 at home and 0-1 away, so the head-to-head record supports the home side. Brian Lignano's recent run of 4 losses in 5, with 3 goals scored and 9 conceded, points the same direction. The model gives Conegliano 1.27 expected goals against 0.37 for Brian Lignano, and the correct-score pick is 1-0. The evidence supports Conegliano win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Conegliano 1.27 – 0.37 Brian Lignano · expected total 1.65

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Conegliano

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Best league winning streak this season5
Elo strength rating1510

Brian Lignano

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)2.00
Best league winning streak this season5
Elo strength rating1569
ConeglianoBrian Lignano
Goals scored (season avg)
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.10
2.00
Best league winning streak this season
5
5
Elo strength rating
1510
1569

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Conegliano

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Brian Lignano

Winless 5
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone C

Conegliano

2nd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6) 3rd best Over 2.5 rate (50%, last 6)

Brian Lignano

2nd worst defence (2.00 conceded/game, season)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone C teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Conegliano at home · Brian Lignano away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Conegliano (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–1L
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2

Brian Lignano (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–3L
W 1
D 1
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Conegliano (home)Brian Lignano (away)
W 3
D 1
L 1
W 1
D 1
L 3
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
0.60
1.20
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
2
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
23.67%
2–0
15.66%
3–0
6.65%
2–1
5.82%
3–1
2.47%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Brian Lignano 0 wins · 0 draws · Conegliano 2 wins · avg 1 goals · BTTS in 0 of 2

2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
15 Mar 2026 Brian Lignano 0–1 Conegliano Serie D - Girone C
02 Nov 2025 Conegliano 1–0 Brian Lignano Serie D - Girone C

📈 Recent Form

Conegliano

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Legnago Salus Away 1–1 D
25/10 Schio Home 2–1 W
18/10 Triestina Away 0–1 L
11/10 Mestre Home 2–1 W
04/10 Este Away 1–2 L
27/09 LME Home 0–1 L
20/09 FC Obermais Home 1–0 W
16/09 Cjarlins Muzane Away 1–0 W
13/09 Bassano Virtus Home 0–0 D
06/09 Campodarsego Away 0–4 L

Brian Lignano

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Campodarsego Home 1–2 L
25/10 FC Obermais Away 1–1 D
18/10 Altavilla Home 0–2 L
11/10 Bassano Virtus Away 0–1 L
04/10 Luparense Home 1–3 L
27/09 Calvi Noale Away 1–0 W
20/09 Clodiense Home 3–5 L
16/09 Sandona Away 1–2 L
13/09 Virtus Bolzano Away 1–2 L
06/09 Este Home 0–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone C

Conegliano #8 · 14 pts ·  Brian Lignano #18 · 4 pts

Conegliano

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–4L
W 4
D 2
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets3
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Brian Lignano

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–8L
W 1
D 1
L 8
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
ConeglianoBrian Lignano
W 4
D 2
L 4
W 1
D 1
L 8
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
2.00
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
4
3
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Conegliano

1
0-15
16-30
1
3
31-45
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
4
76-90
2
scored conceded

Brian Lignano

1
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
4
61-75
1
4
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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