Casertana vs Casarano
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Girone C - 13 • Stadio Alberto Pinto • ☁️ 18.7°C, 1 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 51.9% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 77.5% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 69.3% · No 30.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 70.4% · Under 29.6% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.1% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Casertana · Home
Casertana have scored in only two of their last five matches, but one of those was a 3-1 home win over SS Monopoli. Their model expected goals of 2.16 for this fixture is the highest figure in the supplied data.
Casarano · Away
Casarano have failed to score in three of their last five matches, including a 0-1 home loss to SS Monopoli. Their 1-0 win at Crotone is their only victory in that run.
Casertana's Home Edge
The latest head-to-head, on 14 Feb 2026, finished 3-2 to Casarano, and Casarano also won 0-3 at Casertana in 5 Oct 2025. Casertana's recent home results include a 3-1 win over SS Monopoli and a 1-1 draw with Bari, while Casarano lost 2-5 at Cavese. Casertana's model expected goals of 2.16 against Casarano's 1.49 support a home-side edge. The evidence supports Casertana win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Casertana 2.16 – 1.49 Casarano · expected total 3.65
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Casertana
Casarano
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone C
Casertana
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Casarano
Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone C teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Casertana at home · Casarano away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Casertana (home)
Casarano (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Casarano 3 wins · 0 draws · Casertana 1 win · avg 3.5 goals · BTTS in 2 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Casarano | 3–2 | Casertana | Serie C - Girone C |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Casertana | 0–3 | Casarano | Serie C - Girone C |
| 16 Feb 2022 | Casarano | 3–2 | Casertana | Serie D - Girone H |
| 10 Oct 2021 | Casertana | 1–0 | Casarano | Serie D - Girone H |
📈 Recent Form
Casertana
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Giugliano | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 23/10 | Bari | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Sorrento | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 10/10 | SS Monopoli | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 03/10 | Cavese | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 27/09 | Catania | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Audace Cerignola | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 15/09 | Team Altamura | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Inter U23 | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 06/09 | Scafatese | Home | 2–2 | D |
Casarano
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Crotone | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Cavese | Away | 2–5 | L |
| 11/10 | Salernitana | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 03/10 | Sorrento | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 27/09 | SS Monopoli | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 19/09 | Savoia | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 15/09 | Audace Cerignola | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 11/09 | Barletta | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 05/09 | Bari | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 28/08 | Giugliano | Home | 4–3 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone C
Casertana #10 · 17 pts · Casarano #15 · 14 pts
Casertana
Casarano
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Casertana
Casarano
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie C - Girone C predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws