Catania vs Sorrento
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Girone C - 13 • Stadio Angelo Massimino • ☁️ 19.8°C, 4 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 50.3% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 75.3% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 61.9% · No 38.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 60.7% · Under 39.3% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.6% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Catania · Home
Catania have scored 12 goals across their last five matches, including a 6-0 home win over Giugliano and a 2-1 home win over Crotone. Their only blank in that run came away at Audace Cerignola.
Sorrento · Away
Sorrento are without a win in five, with 4 goals scored and 8 conceded, and they failed to score in two of those matches. Their latest outing was a 1-2 home defeat to Team Altamura.
Catania's Home Scoring Contrast
The latest H2H was a 3-1 Sorrento win in January 2026, but the two prior meetings both came at Catania: a 0-0 draw and a 4-0 Catania win. Catania's recent home results were a 6-0 win over Giugliano and a 2-1 win over Crotone, while Sorrento have lost three of their last five. The model gives Catania 1.87 expected goals against Sorrento's 1.27, supporting a home win despite Sorrento's latest H2H success. The evidence supports Catania win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Catania 1.87 – 1.27 Sorrento · expected total 3.15
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Catania
Sorrento
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone C
Catania
Sorrento
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone C teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Catania at home · Sorrento away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Catania (home)
Sorrento (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Catania 1 win · 2 draws · Sorrento 4 wins · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 2 of 7
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Sorrento | 3–1 | Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Catania | 0–0 | Sorrento | Serie C - Girone C |
| 22 Dec 2024 | Catania | 4–0 | Sorrento | Serie C - Girone C |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Sorrento | 0–0 | Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Sorrento | 3–2 | Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
| 18 Dec 2023 | Catania | 0–1 | Sorrento | Serie C - Girone C |
| 14 May 2023 | Catania | 0–2 | Sorrento | Serie D - Championship Round |
📈 Recent Form
Catania
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Audace Cerignola | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 25/10 | Giugliano | Home | 6–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Potenza | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Team Altamura | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Crotone | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 27/09 | Casertana | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Barletta | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 15/09 | AZ Picerno | Away | 4–2 | W |
| 12/09 | Scafatese | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 07/09 | Cosenza | Home | 4–0 | W |
Sorrento
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Team Altamura | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 27/10 | Savoia | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Inter U23 | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Casertana | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 11/10 | Scafatese | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 03/10 | Casarano | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Foggia | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Bari | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 15/09 | Cavese | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 12/09 | AZ Picerno | Home | 1–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone C
Catania #5 · 19 pts · Sorrento #4 · 20 pts
Catania
Sorrento
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Catania
Sorrento
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie C - Girone C predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws