Crotone vs Giugliano
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Girone C - 13 • Stadio Ezio Scida • ☁️ 17.4°C, 8 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 49.6% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 74.8% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 60.7% · No 39.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 59% · Under 41% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.6% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Crotone · Home
Crotone have lost four of their last five, including 2-4 at Potenza and 0-1 at home to Casarano, and failed to score in two of those five. Their model expected goals of 1.82 for this fixture is the highest figure in the matchup.
Giugliano · Away
Giugliano have won two of their last five but conceded 13 goals across them, including 0-6 at Catania and 0-4 at Inter U23. They failed to score in three of those five matches.
Crotone's Home H2H Edge
The latest head-to-head went to Giugliano, 1-0 on 6 Apr 2026, but the two prior meetings both finished as Crotone wins, 1-0 and 3-2, with the latter producing five goals. Crotone's recent record of 5 scored and 10 conceded against Giugliano's 4 scored and 13 conceded points to a home side with the stronger attacking forecast at 1.82 model expected goals. Giugliano's away losses of 0-6 and 0-2 show they can be opened up on the road. The evidence supports Crotone win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Crotone 1.82 – 1.25 Giugliano · expected total 3.07
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Crotone
Giugliano
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone C
Crotone
Giugliano
Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone C teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Crotone at home · Giugliano away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Crotone (home)
Giugliano (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Crotone 6 wins · 0 draws · Giugliano 2 wins · avg 3.5 goals · BTTS in 6 of 8
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr 2026 | Giugliano | 1–0 | Crotone | Serie C - Girone C |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Crotone | 1–0 | Giugliano | Serie C - Girone C |
| 09 Mar 2025 | Crotone | 3–2 | Giugliano | Serie C - Girone C |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Giugliano | 1–3 | Crotone | Serie C - Girone C |
| 02 Mar 2024 | Crotone | 2–3 | Giugliano | Serie C - Girone C |
| 25 Oct 2023 | Giugliano | 1–2 | Crotone | Serie C - Girone C |
| 23 Apr 2023 | Crotone | 3–1 | Giugliano | Serie C - Girone C |
| 18 Dec 2022 | Giugliano | 2–3 | Crotone | Serie C - Girone C |
📈 Recent Form
Crotone
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Potenza | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 26/10 | Casarano | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 18/10 | Bari | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 10/10 | Audace Cerignola | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 03/10 | Catania | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 26/09 | Salernitana | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 20/09 | SS Monopoli | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 15/09 | Inter U23 | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Savoia | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 05/09 | Barletta | Home | 2–2 | D |
Giugliano
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Casertana | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Catania | Away | 0–6 | L |
| 19/10 | Foggia | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 13/10 | Inter U23 | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 10/10 | Bari | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 03/10 | Barletta | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Salernitana | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 15/09 | Cosenza | Home | 5–2 | W |
| 11/09 | Audace Cerignola | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 05/09 | Sorrento | Home | 0–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone C
Crotone #20 · 1 pts · Giugliano #16 · 13 pts
Crotone
Giugliano
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Crotone
Giugliano
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie C - Girone C predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws