AZ Picerno vs Bari
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Mon, 09 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Girone C - 13 • Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio • ☁️ 12.6°C, 10 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 44.1% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 74.8% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 64.2% · No 35.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 61.9% · Under 38.1% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.1% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
AZ Picerno · Home
AZ Picerno have won two of their last five, including a 3-0 home win over Salernitana and a 2-1 away win at Cavese, but they also lost three of those five and failed to score once. Their model expected goals of 1.76 is the higher of the two sides.
Bari · Away
Bari have drawn three of their last five, with 1-1 draws at Casertana and at home to Scafatese plus a 0-0 home draw with Crotone. They have scored only 5 goals in 5 matches and failed to score once.
Bari's draws meet Picerno's home edge
Bari's recent run is built on stalemates: three draws in five, two of them 1-1, and only 5 goals scored across those matches. The latest head-to-head is a warning for the home side, with Bari winning 3-0 on 9 Aug 2025, and Bari also won the two earlier meetings. Yet Picerno's 3-0 home win over Salernitana shows the scoring output that supports a home result, and the model's 1.76 expected goals for Picerno sits above Bari's 1.44. The evidence supports AZ Picerno win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:51 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: AZ Picerno 1.76 – 1.44 Bari · expected total 3.20
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
AZ Picerno
Bari
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone C
AZ Picerno
Bari
Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone C teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
AZ Picerno at home · Bari away, the split that matters for this fixture.
AZ Picerno (home)
Bari (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
AZ Picerno 0 wins · 0 draws · Bari 5 wins · avg 1.8 goals · BTTS in 0 of 5
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug 2025 | Bari | 3–0 | AZ Picerno | Friendlies Clubs |
| 22 Feb 2022 | Bari | 1–0 | AZ Picerno | Serie C - Girone C |
| 12 Sep 2021 | AZ Picerno | 0–1 | Bari | Serie C - Girone C |
| 16 Feb 2020 | Bari | 3–0 | AZ Picerno | Serie C - Girone C |
| 28 Sep 2019 | AZ Picerno | 0–1 | Bari | Serie C - Girone C |
📈 Recent Form
AZ Picerno
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Cavese | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 26/10 | Salernitana | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Barletta | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 12/10 | Cosenza | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 04/10 | Potenza | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 26/09 | Audace Cerignola | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Team Altamura | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 15/09 | Catania | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 12/09 | Sorrento | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 07/09 | Inter U23 | Home | 4–1 | W |
Bari
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Scafatese | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 27/10 | Potenza | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 23/10 | Casertana | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Crotone | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 10/10 | Giugliano | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Salernitana | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 26/09 | Cosenza | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Sorrento | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 15/09 | Potenza | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 11/09 | Team Altamura | Away | 3–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone C
AZ Picerno #7 · 18 pts · Bari #2 · 22 pts
AZ Picerno
Bari
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
AZ Picerno
Bari
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie C - Girone C predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws