Italy Serie D - Girone A Double Chance Football Predictions

Round 11 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 33 minutes ago • UTC+3

Group A, Round 11

Saturday, November 07

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Double Chance Odds Model EV Result
18:30 LWLLL LWWLL 70.5% X2 N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Double Chance Odds Model EV Result
16:30 WWWWL WLDLL 91.9% 1X N/A — —
16:30 DLLLW WDDLL 65.3% 1X N/A — —
16:30 WLDLW DWDWD 71.8% 1X N/A — —
16:30 DWLWD DDLDL 78.4% 1X N/A — —
16:30 DDLDW LDWDW 73.2% 12 N/A — —
16:30 LWLLD WWWWW 79.8% X2 N/A — —
16:30 LLLWD WLLWL 65.6% X2 N/A — —
16:30 LDWWL DWLWW 75.1% 12 N/A — —

How to Read the Prediction Table

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Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

8 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
62.5% 5/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score
62.5% 5/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5
62.5% 5/8
🔢 Correct Score
0.0% 0/8
🛡️ Double Chance
87.5% 7/8
🤝 Draw Predictions
50.0% 1/2
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
66.7% 4/6
📌 1X2 · draw picks
50.0% 1/2

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 62.5% 5/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score 62.5% 5/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5 62.5% 5/8
🛡️ Double Chance 87.5% 7/8
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 2/2. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 45.5% 62.5% 8 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 62.9% 66.7% 3 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 55.0% 60.0% 5 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 52.2% 71.4% 7 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 60.4% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 11.2% 0.0% 8 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 76.0% 100.0% 4 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 67.6% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 81.5% 100.0% 2 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 28.4% 50.0% 2 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Group A, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Double Chance Odds Model EV Result
02/11 16:30 LDWWL WLDLW — No data N/A — 0 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 WDDLL ----- — No data N/A — 1 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 DDLDL WWWWW — No data N/A — 2 – 3 FT
02/11 16:30 DDLDW LWLLD — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 LDLWL DLLLW — No data N/A — 2 – 1 FT
02/11 17:00 DWLWW DWDWW — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
02/11 17:00 DWDWD ----- — No data N/A — 2 – 0 FT
02/11 17:00 DWLWD ----- — No data N/A — 1 – 2 FT
02/11 17:00 WLDLL WLLWL — No data N/A — 3 – 1 FT
31/10 16:30 LWLLL WLDLW — No data N/A — 0 – 2 FT
01/11 16:30 LWWLL WWWWL 74% 12 ✅ @1.33William Hill -1.6% 1 – 3 FT
01/11 16:30 WLDLL LWLLD 65.8% X2 ❌ @1.40William Hill -7.9% 2 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 WWWWW LDWDW 80% 1X ✅ @1.19Betano -4.8% 5 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 DWLWW DDLDW 82.9% 1X ✅ @1.17BetVictor -3% 0 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 DDLDL DLLLW 69.4% 1X ✅ @1.36William Hill -5.6% 0 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WLLWL LDWWL 79.9% 1X ✅ @1.19Betano -4.9% 4 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 WDDLL LLLWD 73.4% 1X ✅ @1.30BetVictor -4.6% 4 – 3 FT
01/11 17:00 DWDWD DWLWD 76.8% 1X ✅ @1.27Betano -2.5% 0 – 0 FT