Alessandria vs Celle Varazze
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group A - 11 • Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta • ☁️ 9°C, 1 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 72.9% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 91.9% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 58.2% · Yes 41.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 46.6% · Over 53.4% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-0 | Current price not available | 14.6% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Alessandria 72.9% · Draw 19.0% · Celle Varazze 8.1%. Selected outcome: Alessandria win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Alessandria 2.21, Celle Varazze 0.62, expected total 2.83.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
Alessandria: W-W-W-L-W in their last five matches.
Celle Varazze: L-D-L-L-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Alessandria
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Alessandria
Celle Varazze
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone A
Alessandria
Celle Varazze
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Alessandria at home · Celle Varazze away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Alessandria (home)
Celle Varazze (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
📈 Recent Form
Alessandria
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Borgosesia | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 25/10 | Biellese | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Lascaris | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Fezzanese | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 07/10 | Biellese | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 04/10 | Derthona | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 30/09 | Imperia | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 27/09 | Asti | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Millesimo | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 13/09 | Sestri Levante | Home | 2–1 | W |
Celle Varazze
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Valenzana | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 25/10 | Imperia | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Sestri Levante | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 07/10 | Bra | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 04/10 | Chisola | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 20/09 | Ligorna | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 16/09 | Saluzzo | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 12/09 | Sanremese | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 06/09 | Derthona | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 03/05 | Imperia | Away | 1–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone A
Alessandria #1 · 27 pts · Celle Varazze #18 · 4 pts
Alessandria
Celle Varazze
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Alessandria
Celle Varazze
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws