Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone A

Imperia vs Saluzzo

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group A - 11 • 🌧 13°C, 7 km/h, 1.7mm rain

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available51.9% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available78.4% —
BTTS No Current price not available47% · Yes 53% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available49.5% · Over 50.5% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available10.2% —

🧠 Match Preview

Imperia · Home

Imperia have won two of their last five and kept clean sheets in both victories, including a 2-0 home win over Celle Varazze. Their latest meeting with Saluzzo ended 1-0 in Imperia's favour on 11 January 2026.

Saluzzo · Away

Saluzzo are without a win in five, drawing three and failing to score in three of those matches. They did beat Imperia 2-1 at home on 14 September 2025, showing this fixture has not always gone the home side's way.

Imperia edge a low-scoring Saluzzo

The latest head-to-head is the clearest guide: Imperia won it 1-0, and Saluzzo have failed to score in three of their last five. Imperia's recent record of 7 goals for and 6 against across five games is modest, while Saluzzo have managed only 3 goals in the same span. The model's 1.69 expected goals for Imperia against 1.01 for Saluzzo fits a tight, low-scoring contest rather than a comfortable home rout. The evidence supports Imperia win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Imperia 1.69 – 1.01 Saluzzo · expected total 2.70

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Imperia

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1354

Saluzzo

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1318
ImperiaSaluzzo
Goals scored (season avg)
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.20
1.10
Best league winning streak this season
4
2
Elo strength rating
1354
1318

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Imperia

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Saluzzo

Winless 8
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone A

Imperia

Best BTTS rate (67%, last 6) 3rd best clean sheets (3, season)

Saluzzo

3rd best clean sheets (3, season)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Imperia at home · Saluzzo away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Imperia (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–0D–1L
W 4
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0

Saluzzo (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–3D–1L
W 1
D 3
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Imperia (home)Saluzzo (away)
W 4
L 1
W 1
D 3
L 1
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
0.60
1.00
Clean sheets
3
2
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
10.23%
2–1
9.7%
2–0
9.59%
3–1
5.45%
3–0
5.39%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Imperia 2 wins · 1 draw · Saluzzo 3 wins · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 3 of 6

2
1
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
11 Jan 2026 Imperia 1–0 Saluzzo Serie D - Girone A
14 Sep 2025 Saluzzo 2–1 Imperia Serie D - Girone A
02 Feb 2025 Saluzzo 3–1 Imperia Serie D - Girone A
06 Oct 2024 Imperia 1–1 Saluzzo Serie D - Girone A
15 May 2022 Saluzzo 0–2 Imperia Serie D - Girone A
09 Mar 2022 Imperia 0–3 Saluzzo Serie D - Girone A

📈 Recent Form

Imperia

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Sanremese Away 0–0 D
25/10 Celle Varazze Home 2–0 W
18/10 Borgosesia Away 2–4 L
11/10 Biellese Home 2–1 W
04/10 Lascaris Away 1–1 D
30/09 Alessandria Away 1–2 L
27/09 Fezzanese Home 2–0 W
16/09 Asti Home 1–2 L
13/09 Derthona Away 1–1 D
06/09 Millesimo Home 1–0 W

Saluzzo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Gozzano Home 0–0 D
25/10 Sestri Levante Away 0–0 D
18/10 Chisola Home 0–3 L
11/10 Bra Away 1–1 D
07/10 Valenzana Away 2–3 L
04/10 Ligorna Away 1–2 L
27/09 Derthona Home 0–0 D
20/09 Sanremese Away 2–2 D
16/09 Celle Varazze Home 3–1 W
12/09 Borgosesia Away 2–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone A

Imperia #7 · 15 pts ·  Saluzzo #11 · 12 pts

Imperia

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–3L
W 4
D 3
L 3
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Saluzzo

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–6D–2L
W 2
D 6
L 2
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
ImperiaSaluzzo
W 4
D 3
L 3
W 2
D 6
L 2
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.10
Clean sheets
3
3
Failed to score
0
3
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Imperia

1
0-15
4
5
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
1
76-90
2
scored conceded

Saluzzo

1
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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