Sestri Levante vs Bra
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group A - 11 • Giuseppe Sivori • 🌧 15.5°C, 2 km/h, 0.3mm rain
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 42.9% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 73.2% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 59.3% · No 40.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 55.4% · Under 44.6% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.1% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Sestri Levante · Home
Sestri Levante's recent run is built on low-scoring solidity: 2 goals for and 2 against across five matches, with three clean sheets and three matches in which they failed to score. The model expected goals of 1.59 for this fixture is well above what that recent record produced.
Bra · Away
Bra scored 6 in five recent matches but conceded 7, including a 1-5 loss at Chisola. They did win 2-1 at Ligorna, the same opponent Sestri Levante drew 0-0 with away.
Home edge in tight H2H
The latest head-to-head, on 30 Apr 2023, finished 4-3 to Bra, but the two prior meetings both went Sestri Levante's way or level: 2-1 at home and 0-0. Sestri Levante's five-match record of 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss shows how rarely they are beaten, and Bra's 7 goals conceded in five offers a route to the 2-1 scoreline. The 42.9% home probability is modest rather than dominant, reflecting that draw risk. The evidence supports Sestri Levante win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 10:47 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Sestri Levante 1.59 – 1.31 Bra · expected total 2.90
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Sestri Levante
Bra
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone A
Sestri Levante
Bra
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Sestri Levante at home · Bra away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Sestri Levante (home)
Bra (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Bra 2 wins · 1 draw · Sestri Levante 1 win · avg 3.3 goals · BTTS in 2 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2023 | Bra | 4–3 | Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
| 18 Dec 2022 | Sestri Levante | 2–1 | Bra | Serie D - Girone A |
| 10 Apr 2022 | Sestri Levante | 0–0 | Bra | Serie D - Girone A |
| 28 Nov 2021 | Bra | 3–0 | Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
📈 Recent Form
Sestri Levante
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Ligorna | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 25/10 | Saluzzo | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 18/10 | Sanremese | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 11/10 | Celle Varazze | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 07/10 | Pistoiese | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Borgosesia | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Biellese | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Lascaris | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 16/09 | Fezzanese | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 13/09 | Alessandria | Away | 1–2 | L |
Bra
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Chisola | Away | 1–5 | L |
| 25/10 | Derthona | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 18/10 | Ligorna | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Saluzzo | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 07/10 | Celle Varazze | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Sanremese | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 20/09 | Borgosesia | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 16/09 | Biellese | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | Lascaris | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 06/09 | Fezzanese | Home | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone A
Sestri Levante #16 · 10 pts · Bra #15 · 10 pts
Sestri Levante
Bra
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Sestri Levante
Bra
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws