Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone H

Ebolitana vs Fidelis Andria

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group H - 11

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available28.7% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available65.8% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available54.7% · No 45.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available51.2% · Over 48.8% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available13.7% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Ebolitana 34.2% · Draw 28.7% · Fidelis Andria 37.1%. Selected outcome: Draw.

Goals

Model expected goals: Ebolitana 1.28, Fidelis Andria 1.35, expected total 2.63.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Ebolitana: D-L-L-D-W in their last five matches.
Fidelis Andria: L-W-W-W-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Ebolitana

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.60
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1325

Fidelis Andria

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season5
Elo strength rating1590
EbolitanaFidelis Andria
Goals scored (season avg)
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.60
1.40
Best league winning streak this season
1
5
Elo strength rating
1325
1590

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Ebolitana

Winless 5
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Fidelis Andria

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Ebolitana at home · Fidelis Andria away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Ebolitana (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–1L
W 2
D 2
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Fidelis Andria (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–3L
W 2
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Ebolitana (home)Fidelis Andria (away)
W 2
D 2
L 1
W 2
L 3
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.40
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
13.72%
0–0
8.47%
2–2
5.38%
3–3
1.03%
4–4
0.11%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Ebolitana

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Brindisi Away 0–2 L
25/10 Gravina Home 2–2 D
18/10 USD Palmese Away 0–2 L
11/10 Martina Franca Home 0–2 L
04/10 Ischia Away 1–1 D
27/09 Melfi Home 1–0 W
20/09 Manfredonia Away 0–3 L
16/09 Bisceglie Home 2–1 W
12/09 Nardò Home 1–1 D
06/09 Nocerina Away 1–2 L

Fidelis Andria

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Francavilla Home 2–0 W
28/10 Virtus Francavilla Home 0–1 L
25/10 Nardò Away 3–1 W
18/10 Virtus Francavilla Home 2–1 W
11/10 Real Normanna Away 1–0 W
04/10 Real Forio 2014 Home 2–1 W
27/09 Turris Away 0–2 L
20/09 Gladiator Away 2–3 L
16/09 Manfredonia Home 1–1 D
12/09 Brindisi Away 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone H

Ebolitana #14 · 9 pts ·  Fidelis Andria #7 · 16 pts

Ebolitana

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–5L
W 2
D 3
L 5
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Fidelis Andria

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–1D–4L
W 5
D 1
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
EbolitanaFidelis Andria
W 2
D 3
L 5
W 5
D 1
L 4
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.60
1.40
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
3
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Ebolitana

2
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
4
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Fidelis Andria

1
0-15
2
4
16-30
1
2
31-45
4
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
3
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone H predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws