Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone H

Real Normanna vs Manfredonia

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group H - 11 • ☁️ 17.6°C, 5 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available45.3% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available81.1% —
BTTS No Current price not available70% · Yes 30% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available77.4% · Over 22.6% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available19.3% —

🧠 Match Preview

Real Normanna · Home

Real Normanna have drawn three of their last five, including 1-1 at Real Forio 2014, but their 6-0 home win over L'Aquila shows a higher ceiling. The model gives them 1.05 expected goals for this fixture.

Manfredonia · Away

Manfredonia won three of five, yet all three wins came at home and both away matches ended in defeat, 0-2 at Virtus Francavilla and 0-3 at Turris. They failed to score in those two away games and have 0.58 model expected goals here.

Home edge in tight H2H

The latest head-to-head is the clearest guide: Real Normanna beat Manfredonia 1-0 on 1 Mar 2026, while the earlier meeting finished 0-0. Manfredonia's away record in their last five produced two defeats and no goals, which supports a low-scoring home win rather than an open game. Real Normanna's 1-0 home defeat to Fidelis Andria shows the risk of a tight match, but the 6-0 win over L'Aquila and the 3-3 draw at Gladiator underline their scoring capacity. The evidence supports Real Normanna win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Real Normanna 1.05 – 0.58 Manfredonia · expected total 1.64

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Real Normanna

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1472

Manfredonia

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1452
Real NormannaManfredonia
Goals scored (season avg)
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.70
1.20
Best league winning streak this season
3
3
Elo strength rating
1472
1452

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Real Normanna

Unbeaten 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Manfredonia

BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Real Normanna at home · Manfredonia away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Real Normanna (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–2L
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1

Manfredonia (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–3L
W 1
D 1
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2
Real Normanna (home)Manfredonia (away)
W 2
D 1
L 2
W 1
D 1
L 3
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.80
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
19.3%
2–0
10.79%
2–1
6.3%
3–0
3.79%
3–1
2.21%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Manfredonia 0 wins · 1 draw · Real Normanna 1 win · avg 0.5 goals · BTTS in 0 of 2

1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
01 Mar 2026 Real Normanna 1–0 Manfredonia Serie D - Girone H
26 Oct 2025 Manfredonia 0–0 Real Normanna Serie D - Girone H

📈 Recent Form

Real Normanna

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Real Forio 2014 Away 1–1 D
28/10 L'Aquila Home 6–0 W
25/10 Turris Home 1–1 D
18/10 Gladiator Away 3–3 D
11/10 Fidelis Andria Home 0–1 L
04/10 Brindisi Away 0–3 L
27/09 Gravina Home 1–0 W
20/09 USD Palmese Away 4–3 W
16/09 Martina Franca Home 1–2 L
12/09 Ischia Away 2–2 D

Manfredonia

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Melfi Home 3–0 W
25/10 Virtus Francavilla Away 0–2 L
18/10 Ischia Home 2–0 W
11/10 Turris Away 0–3 L
04/10 Bisceglie Home 1–0 W
27/09 Real Forio 2014 Away 2–1 W
20/09 Ebolitana Home 3–0 W
16/09 Fidelis Andria Away 1–1 D
12/09 Nocerina Home 2–2 D
06/09 Gladiator Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone H

Real Normanna #10 · 13 pts ·  Manfredonia #6 · 17 pts

Real Normanna

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–4D–3L
W 3
D 4
L 3
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Manfredonia

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–2D–3L
W 5
D 2
L 3
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Real NormannaManfredonia
W 3
D 4
L 3
W 5
D 2
L 3
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
1.20
Clean sheets
2
3
Failed to score
2
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Real Normanna

1
0-15
3
1
16-30
1
31-45
4
6
46-60
3
1
61-75
2
4
76-90
3
scored conceded

Manfredonia

0-15
2
3
16-30
4
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
2
61-75
2
2
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone H predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws