Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group H - 11 • ☁️ 14.3°C, 5 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Current price not available | 42.1% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 75.5% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 67.7% · No 32.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 66.2% · Under 33.8% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Current price not available | 8.7% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Francavilla · Home
Francavilla have won just once in their last five, a 2-1 home win over Real Forio 2014, and failed to score in two of those matches. Their latest outing was a 0-2 away loss to Fidelis Andria.
Virtus Francavilla · Away
Virtus Francavilla have won four of their last five, scoring 8 and conceding 3, with three clean sheets. That run includes a 2-1 away win over Turris and a 1-0 away win at Fidelis Andria.
Away form and H2H edge
The latest head-to-head is the standout angle: Virtus Francavilla won 0-3 away at Francavilla on 19 Apr 2026. Francavilla did take the earlier meeting 1-2, and the sides drew 2-2 in January 2025, so this fixture has produced away wins and goals. Virtus Francavilla's current run of 4 wins in 5, with 8 goals scored, supports the model's 1.81 expected goals for them against Francavilla's 1.6. The evidence supports Virtus Francavilla win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Francavilla 1.60 – 1.81 Virtus Francavilla · expected total 3.41
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Francavilla
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Francavilla
Virtus Francavilla
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone H
Francavilla
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Virtus Francavilla
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone H teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Francavilla at home · Virtus Francavilla away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Francavilla (home)
Virtus Francavilla (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Francavilla 1 win · 1 draw · Virtus Francavilla 3 wins · avg 3.4 goals · BTTS in 3 of 5
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | Virtus Francavilla | 0–3 | Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| 07 Dec 2025 | Francavilla | 1–2 | Virtus Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| 12 Jan 2025 | Virtus Francavilla | 2–2 | Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Francavilla | 0–1 | Virtus Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| 01 Sep 2024 | Francavilla | 1–5 | Virtus Francavilla | Coppa Italia Serie D |
📈 Recent Form
Francavilla
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Fidelis Andria | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 25/10 | Real Forio 2014 | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 18/10 | Gravina | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 11/10 | Gladiator | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 04/10 | Martina Franca | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 27/09 | Brindisi | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 20/09 | Melfi | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 16/09 | USD Palmese | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 13/09 | Bisceglie | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 06/09 | Ischia | Home | 1–0 | W |
Virtus Francavilla
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Turris | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 28/10 | Fidelis Andria | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Manfredonia | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Fidelis Andria | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Real Forio 2014 | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 07/10 | Gravina | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Gravina | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 27/09 | Gladiator | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 20/09 | Martina Franca | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 16/09 | Brindisi | Home | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone H
Francavilla #16 · 8 pts · Virtus Francavilla #1 · 24 pts
Francavilla
Virtus Francavilla
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Francavilla
Virtus Francavilla
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone H predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws