Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone H

Nardò vs Turris

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group H - 11 • ☁️ 17°C, 4 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Away Current price not available51.9% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available80.8% —
BTTS No Current price not available56.1% · Yes 43.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available60% · Over 40% —
Correct Score 0-1 Current price not available13.8% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Nardò 19.2% · Draw 28.9% · Turris 51.9%. Selected outcome: Turris win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Nardò 0.81, Turris 1.48, expected total 2.29.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Nardò: L-L-D-L-L in their last five matches.
Turris: D-W-W-D-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Nardò

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.90
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1528

Turris

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)0.80
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1364
NardòTurris
Goals scored (season avg)
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.90
0.80
Best league winning streak this season
2
2
Elo strength rating
1528
1364

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Nardò

Lost 3 in a row Winless 6
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Turris

Winless 3
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone H

Nardò

2nd worst defence (1.90 conceded/game, season) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (67%, last 6)

Turris

Best defence (0.80 conceded/game, season) 3rd best clean sheets (4, season)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone H teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Nardò at home · Turris away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Nardò (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–3L
D 2
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3

Turris (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–0L
W 2
D 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Nardò (home)Turris (away)
D 2
L 3
W 2
D 3
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
0.40
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
0.80
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
3
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

0–1
13.85%
0–2
11.16%
1–2
8.99%
0–3
5.51%
1–3
4.44%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Nardò

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Gladiator Away 1–2 L
25/10 Fidelis Andria Home 1–3 L
18/10 Brindisi Away 0–2 L
11/10 Gravina Home 1–1 D
04/10 USD Palmese Away 2–4 L
27/09 Martina Franca Home 0–3 L
20/09 Ischia Away 2–1 W
16/09 Melfi Home 0–0 D
12/09 Ebolitana Away 1–1 D
06/09 Bisceglie Home 0–2 L

Turris

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Virtus Francavilla Home 1–2 L
28/10 Certosa V. Campagnano Home 0–0 D
25/10 Real Normanna Away 1–1 D
18/10 Real Forio 2014 Away 2–1 W
11/10 Manfredonia Home 3–0 W
04/10 Gladiator Away 1–1 D
27/09 Fidelis Andria Home 2–0 W
20/09 Brindisi Away 2–1 W
16/09 Gravina Home 0–0 D
13/09 USD Palmese Away 0–0 D

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone H

Nardò #18 · 4 pts ·  Turris #4 · 19 pts

Nardò

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–3D–6L
W 1
D 3
L 6
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)2/1

Turris

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–4D–1L
W 5
D 4
L 1
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1
NardòTurris
W 1
D 3
L 6
W 5
D 4
L 1
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded (avg)
1.90
0.80
Clean sheets
1
4
Failed to score
4
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
2
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/1
0/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Nardò

1
0-15
2
16-30
3
6
31-45
2
46-60
4
61-75
2
4
76-90
scored conceded

Turris

1
0-15
16-30
3
1
31-45
4
1
46-60
4
3
61-75
1
1
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone H predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws