Progresso vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group E - 11 • ☁️ 11.3°C, 3 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 38.8% | — |
| Double Chance | X2 | Current price not available | 70.6% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 70.1% · Yes 29.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 80% · Over 20% | — |
| Correct Score | 0-0 | Current price not available | 22.9% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Progresso · Home
Progresso have lost all five recent matches, failing to score in four of them and managing just 1 goal while conceding 9. Their latest outing was a 0-4 defeat away at Sasso Marconi Zola, following a 0-1 home loss to Ternana.
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano · Away
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano are also winless in five, with 2 draws and 3 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Their away form includes a 1-1 draw at Lucchese and a 3-3 draw at Scandicci, showing they can score on the road.
H2H Draws Point to Stalemate
Both previous head-to-head meetings ended 1-1, the latest on 20 Apr 2022 with Progresso at home. Progresso have failed to score in four of their last five, while Ghivizzano have failed to score in three of five. The model gives the draw 38.8% and a 0-0 correct score 22.9%, with Under 2.5 at 80%. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Progresso 0.75 – 0.79 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano · expected total 1.53
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Progresso
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Progresso
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone E
Progresso
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone E teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Progresso at home · Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Progresso (home)
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0 wins · 2 draws · Progresso 0 wins · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 2 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr 2022 | Progresso | 1–1 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone D |
| 20 Oct 2021 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 1–1 | Progresso | Serie D - Girone D |
📈 Recent Form
Progresso
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Sasso Marconi Zola | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 25/10 | Ternana | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 18/10 | Grassina | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 11/10 | Robur Siena | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 04/10 | Rondinella | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 27/09 | Montevarchi Calcio | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Seravezza | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 16/09 | Lucchese | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 12/09 | Scandicci | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 06/09 | Tau Altopascio | Away | 1–2 | L |
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Robur Siena | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 25/10 | Lucchese | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Montevarchi Calcio | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 11/10 | Scandicci | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 04/10 | Tau Altopascio | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 27/09 | Prato | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Mezzolara | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 16/09 | Gavorrano | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | Terranuova Traiana | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 06/09 | Flaminia | Away | 0–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone E
Progresso #18 · 3 pts · Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano #17 · 3 pts
Progresso
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Progresso
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone E predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws