Italy Serie D - Girone E Draw Football Predictions

Round 11 • 3 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
🔍 More Italy League Tips
Serie A Serie B Serie C - Girone A Campionato Primavera 1 Campionato Primavera 2 Coppa Italia Primavera Coppa Italia Serie C Coppa Italia Serie D Serie A Women Serie C - Girone B Serie C - Girone C Serie D - Girone A Serie D - Girone B Serie D - Girone C Serie D - Girone D Serie D - Girone F Serie D - Girone G Serie D - Girone H Serie D - Girone I

Group E, Round 11

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
16:30 LDDDD
Mezzolara Mezzolara vs Gavorrano Gavorrano
WDDDD 29.4% Draw N/A — —
16:30 LLLLL
Progresso Progresso vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
LDLDL 38.8% Draw N/A — —
16:30 DLDWW
Rondinella Rondinella vs Ternana Ternana
WWWWW 28.8% Draw N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone E for Draws

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

9 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
77.8% 7/9
⚽ Both Teams to Score
55.6% 5/9
📈 Over / Under 2.5
77.8% 7/9
🔢 Correct Score
11.1% 1/9
🛡️ Double Chance
100.0% 9/9
🤝 Draw Predictions
0.0% 0/1
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
87.5% 7/8
📌 1X2 · draw picks
0.0% 0/1

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 77.8% 7/9
⚽ Both Teams to Score 55.6% 5/9
📈 Over / Under 2.5 77.8% 7/9
🛡️ Double Chance 100.0% 9/9
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 44.4% 75.0% 8 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 61.4% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 53.9% 83.3% 6 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 64.1% 0.0% 3 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 63.8% 100.0% 3 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 51.1% 66.7% 6 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 10.7% 11.1% 9 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.9% 100.0% 7 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 83.1% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 64.7% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 26.4% 0.0% 1 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Group E, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
01/11 16:30 WDWDL
Terranuova Traiana Terranuova Traiana vs Lucchese Lucchese
LDLDW 26.4% Draw ❌ @3.351xBet -11.6% 3 – 2 FT