Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone E

Mezzolara vs Gavorrano

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group E - 11 • ☁️ 11.3°C, 3 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available29.4% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available66.5% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available52.5% · No 47.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available54% · Over 46% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available14.1% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Mezzolara 33.5% · Draw 29.4% · Gavorrano 37.1%. Selected outcome: Draw.

Goals

Model expected goals: Mezzolara 1.22, Gavorrano 1.30, expected total 2.52.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Mezzolara: D-D-D-D-D in their last five matches.
Gavorrano: D-D-D-D-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Mezzolara

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1353

Gavorrano

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)0.70
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1426
MezzolaraGavorrano
Goals scored (season avg)
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.10
0.70
Best league winning streak this season
1
3
Elo strength rating
1353
1426

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Mezzolara

Winless 7
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Gavorrano

Unbeaten 10
BTTS
6/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone E

Mezzolara

3rd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6)

Gavorrano

Best defence (0.70 conceded/game, season) Best BTTS rate (100%, last 6)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone E teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Mezzolara at home · Gavorrano away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Mezzolara (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–4D–0L
W 1
D 4
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2

Gavorrano (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–3D–0L
W 1
D 3
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Mezzolara (home)Gavorrano (away)
W 1
D 4
W 1
D 3
Played
5
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
0.80
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
2
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
14.05%
0–0
9.34%
2–2
5.06%
3–3
0.89%
4–4
<0.1%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Mezzolara

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Prato Away 0–4 L
25/10 Terranuova Traiana Home 1–1 D
18/10 Flaminia Away 1–1 D
11/10 Sasso Marconi Zola Home 2–2 D
04/10 San Donato Tavarnelle Away 1–1 D
27/09 Grassina Home 0–0 D
20/09 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano Away 1–1 D
16/09 Ternana Home 2–1 W
12/09 Robur Siena Away 0–3 L
06/09 Rondinella Home 0–0 D

Gavorrano

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Scandicci Home 3–2 W
25/10 Seravezza Away 1–1 D
18/10 Prato Home 1–1 D
11/10 Terranuova Traiana Home 1–1 D
04/10 Flaminia Away 1–1 D
27/09 Sasso Marconi Zola Home 2–1 W
20/09 San Donato Tavarnelle Away 2–0 W
16/09 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano Home 1–0 W
12/09 Ternana Away 1–1 D
06/09 Grassina Home 2–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone E

Mezzolara #15 · 10 pts ·  Gavorrano #2 · 20 pts

Mezzolara

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–7D–2L
W 1
D 7
L 2
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards3
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Gavorrano

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–5D–0L
W 5
D 5
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
MezzolaraGavorrano
W 1
D 7
L 2
W 5
D 5
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
0.70
Clean sheets
2
3
Failed to score
3
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
3
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Mezzolara

1
0-15
3
16-30
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
6
76-90
3
scored conceded

Gavorrano

1
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
3
3
61-75
3
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone E predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws