Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone E

Tau Altopascio vs Terranuova Traiana

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group E - 11 • ☁️ 14.9°C, 7 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available50.1% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available76.2% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available65.7% · No 34.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available65.3% · Under 34.7% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.4% —

🧠 Match Preview

Tau Altopascio · Home

Tau Altopascio have scored in three of their last five, including a 2-1 home win over Sasso Marconi Zola and a 1-1 home draw with Grassina. Their model expected goals of 1.98 for this fixture is the higher of the two sides.

Terranuova Traiana · Away

Terranuova Traiana have drawn two of their last five, including 1-1 away at Mezzolara and 1-1 away at Gavorrano. They failed to score in only one of those five matches, a 0-3 home loss to Prato.

Home edge in tight H2H

The latest head-to-head, on 26 Apr 2026, finished 3-2 to Tau Altopascio at home, while the earlier meeting on 14 Dec 2025 went 1-0 to Terranuova Traiana away from home. Tau Altopascio have won two of their last five, with both wins coming by a single goal, and their model expected goals of 1.98 sit above Terranuova Traiana's 1.39. Terranuova Traiana have drawn two of their last five and scored in four of them, so a close contest is plausible. The evidence supports Tau Altopascio win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Tau Altopascio 1.98 – 1.39 Terranuova Traiana · expected total 3.37

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Tau Altopascio

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1608

Terranuova Traiana

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1572
Tau AltopascioTerranuova Traiana
Goals scored (season avg)
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.70
1.20
Best league winning streak this season
4
3
Elo strength rating
1608
1572

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Tau Altopascio

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Terranuova Traiana

Unbeaten 4
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone E

Tau Altopascio

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Terranuova Traiana

3rd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone E teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Tau Altopascio at home · Terranuova Traiana away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Tau Altopascio (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–0L
W 4
D 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Terranuova Traiana (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–1L
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Tau Altopascio (home)Terranuova Traiana (away)
W 4
D 1
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played
5
4
Goals scored (avg)
2.20
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.50
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.41%
2–0
6.76%
3–1
6.21%
1–0
5.87%
3–0
4.46%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Tau Altopascio 1 win · 1 draw · Terranuova Traiana 2 wins · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 2 of 4

1
1
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
26 Apr 2026 Tau Altopascio 3–2 Terranuova Traiana Serie D - Girone E
14 Dec 2025 Terranuova Traiana 1–0 Tau Altopascio Serie D - Girone E
19 Feb 2023 Tau Altopascio 0–0 Terranuova Traiana Serie D - Girone E
16 Oct 2022 Terranuova Traiana 3–1 Tau Altopascio Serie D - Girone E

📈 Recent Form

Tau Altopascio

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Flaminia Away 0–2 L
25/10 Sasso Marconi Zola Home 2–1 W
18/10 San Donato Tavarnelle Away 0–1 L
11/10 Grassina Home 1–1 D
04/10 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano Away 1–0 W
27/09 Rondinella Home 3–2 W
20/09 Ternana Away 0–3 L
16/09 Robur Siena Home 3–2 W
12/09 Montevarchi Calcio Away 1–4 L
06/09 Progresso Home 2–1 W

Terranuova Traiana

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Lucchese Home 3–2 W
25/10 Mezzolara Away 1–1 D
18/10 Scandicci Home 1–0 W
11/10 Gavorrano Away 1–1 D
07/10 Prato Home 0–3 L
03/10 Prato Home 1–1 D
27/09 Seravezza Away 0–3 L
20/09 Flaminia Home 5–1 W
16/09 San Donato Tavarnelle Home 1–1 D
12/09 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano Away 3–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone E

Tau Altopascio #7 · 16 pts ·  Terranuova Traiana #5 · 16 pts

Tau Altopascio

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–1D–4L
W 5
D 1
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Terranuova Traiana

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–4D–2L
W 4
D 4
L 2
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
Tau AltopascioTerranuova Traiana
W 5
D 1
L 4
W 4
D 4
L 2
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
1.20
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
2
1
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Tau Altopascio

1
0-15
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
4
4
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
5
76-90
2
scored conceded

Terranuova Traiana

1
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
6
46-60
2
61-75
4
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone E predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws