Seravezza vs Prato
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group E - 11
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 47.4% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 75% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 63% · No 37% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 61.2% · Under 38.8% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.4% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Seravezza · Home
Seravezza's recent record is modest: 1 win in five, with only 3 goals scored and two matches in which they failed to score. However, they beat Prato 1-0 at home in the most recent meeting staged in Seravezza, 1-0, showing this venue has been awkward for the visitors.
Prato · Away
Prato arrive with 9 goals in five and no match in which they failed to score, including a 4-0 win over Mezzolara. Their two most recent head-to-head wins both came at home, 1-2 and 1-0, so the venue split in this fixture matters.
Venue Split Shapes Seravezza Case
The latest head-to-head, 1-2 on 17 May 2026, went Seravezza's way, but Prato hosted that one. The only Seravezza home meeting in the supplied H2H was a 1-0 Seravezza win, 1-0. Seravezza's home form includes a 1-1 draw with Gavorrano and a 1-0 win over Flaminia, while Prato's away results were 1-1 draws at Gavorrano and Rondinella. The evidence supports Seravezza win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Seravezza 1.82 – 1.35 Prato · expected total 3.17
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Seravezza
Prato
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone E
Seravezza
Prato
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone E teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Seravezza at home · Prato away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Seravezza (home)
Prato (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Prato 3 wins · 2 draws · Seravezza 5 wins · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Prato | 1–2 | Seravezza | Serie D - Girone E |
| 02 Apr 2026 | Prato | 1–0 | Seravezza | Serie D - Girone E |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Seravezza | 1–0 | Prato | Serie D - Girone E |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Seravezza | 2–3 | Prato | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| 01 Sep 2024 | Prato | 0–1 | Seravezza | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| 07 Dec 2022 | Seravezza | 2–3 | Prato | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| 20 Feb 2022 | Seravezza | 2–1 | Prato | Serie D - Girone D |
| 15 Oct 2021 | Prato | 0–0 | Seravezza | Serie D - Girone D |
| 12 Jan 2020 | Seravezza | 4–2 | Prato | Serie D - Girone A |
| 08 Sep 2019 | Prato | 0–0 | Seravezza | Serie D - Girone A |
📈 Recent Form
Seravezza
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Ternana | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 25/10 | Gavorrano | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Rondinella | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 11/10 | Flaminia | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Robur Siena | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 27/09 | Terranuova Traiana | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Progresso | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Montevarchi Calcio | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Lucchese | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 06/09 | San Donato Tavarnelle | Away | 1–2 | L |
Prato
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Mezzolara | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 28/10 | Ternana | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 25/10 | Flaminia | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Gavorrano | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 11/10 | San Donato Tavarnelle | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 07/10 | Terranuova Traiana | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Terranuova Traiana | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 27/09 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 20/09 | Sasso Marconi Zola | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Grassina | Home | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone E
Seravezza #8 · 15 pts · Prato #1 · 22 pts
Seravezza
Prato
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Seravezza
Prato
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone E predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws