Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone F

Atletico Ascoli vs Teramo

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group F - 11 • ☁️ 15.3°C, 4 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available27.3% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available65.1% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available59% · No 41% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available45.6% · Over 54.4% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available12.9% —

🧠 Match Preview

Atletico Ascoli · Home

Atletico Ascoli have failed to score in three of their last five matches, including a 0-1 home loss to Fossombrone and a 0-0 draw at Termoli Calcio. Their 5-1 win over Lanciano FC is the outlier in a record of 7 goals for and 4 against across those five games.

Teramo · Away

Teramo won four of their last five, with three clean sheets, including a 2-0 home win over Lanciano FC and a 2-0 away win at Sporting Trestina. Their latest head-to-head was a 2-1 home win over Atletico Ascoli, following a 1-1 draw at Atletico Ascoli and a 1-2 away defeat.

Tight H2H Points To Draw

The latest head-to-head, a 2-1 Teramo home win, came after a 1-1 draw at Atletico Ascoli and a 1-2 Atletico Ascoli away win, so this pairing has stayed close. Atletico Ascoli failed to score in three of their last five, while Teramo kept three clean sheets in five, which supports a low-scoring outcome. The model gives 1-1 a 12.9% chance and Under 2.5 a 45.6% chance, consistent with a tight contest. The evidence supports Draw.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Atletico Ascoli 1.46 – 1.40 Teramo · expected total 2.86

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Atletico Ascoli

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1628

Teramo

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.70
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season5
Elo strength rating1690
Atletico AscoliTeramo
Goals scored (season avg)
1.30
2.70
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.10
1.40
Best league winning streak this season
4
5
Elo strength rating
1628
1690

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Atletico Ascoli

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Teramo

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone F

Atletico Ascoli

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Teramo

Best attack (2.70 goals/game, season)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone F teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Atletico Ascoli at home · Teramo away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Atletico Ascoli (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–0D–1L
W 3
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Teramo (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–0D–1L
W 4
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Atletico Ascoli (home)Teramo (away)
W 3
L 1
W 4
L 1
Played
4
5
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
2.40
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.00
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
12.9%
0–0
6.91%
2–2
5.99%
3–3
1.36%
4–4
0.17%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Atletico Ascoli 1 win · 3 draws · Teramo 1 win · avg 1.6 goals · BTTS in 3 of 5

1
3
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
10 May 2026 Teramo 2–1 Atletico Ascoli Serie D - Girone F
03 May 2026 Atletico Ascoli 1–1 Teramo Serie D - Girone F
21 Dec 2025 Teramo 1–2 Atletico Ascoli Serie D - Girone F
17 Apr 2025 Atletico Ascoli 0–0 Teramo Serie D - Girone F
08 Dec 2024 Teramo 0–0 Atletico Ascoli Serie D - Girone F

📈 Recent Form

Atletico Ascoli

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Ancona Away 0–1 L
25/10 Termoli Calcio Away 0–0 D
18/10 Lanciano FC Home 5–1 W
11/10 Vigor Senigallia Away 2–1 W
04/10 Fossombrone Home 0–1 L
27/09 Real Giulianova Away 2–4 L
20/09 Sporting Trestina Home 1–0 W
16/09 L'Aquila Away 0–0 D
13/09 Maceratese Home 2–1 W
06/09 Angelana Away 0–2 L

Teramo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Lanciano FC Home 2–0 W
28/10 Latte Dolce Home 0–2 L
25/10 Fossombrone Away 4–2 W
18/10 Termoli Calcio Home 1–0 W
11/10 Sporting Trestina Away 2–0 W
07/10 Unipomezia Away 4–3 W
04/10 Vigor Senigallia Home 6–4 W
27/09 L'Aquila Away 0–2 L
20/09 Real Giulianova Home 3–2 W
16/09 Angelana Away 3–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone F

Atletico Ascoli #8 · 14 pts ·  Teramo #1 · 25 pts

Atletico Ascoli

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–4L
W 4
D 2
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets3
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Teramo

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–1D–1L
W 8
D 1
L 1
Played10
Goals scored (avg)2.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0
Atletico AscoliTeramo
W 4
D 2
L 4
W 8
D 1
L 1
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
2.70
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.40
Clean sheets
3
3
Failed to score
4
1
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
3/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Atletico Ascoli

2
0-15
2
1
16-30
4
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
76-90
3
scored conceded

Teramo

0-15
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
7
1
46-60
4
3
61-75
3
6
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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