Termoli Calcio vs Ancona
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group F - 11 • ☁️ 16.9°C, 21 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Current price not available | 44.4% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 73.7% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 60.3% · No 39.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 57% · Under 43% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Current price not available | 9.3% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Termoli Calcio · Home
Termoli Calcio have won two of their last five, but both wins came at home, including a 2-0 success over Lanciano FC. They failed to score in two of those five matches, and the latest meeting with Ancona ended in a 1-0 defeat.
Ancona · Away
Ancona have scored 12 goals across their last five matches, with a 5-0 win at Vigor Senigallia and a 2-2 draw at Robur Siena. They have won three of those five and failed to score in none, and they also won the most recent head-to-head 1-0.
Ancona's Scoring Edge
The head-to-head record is the clearest signal here: Ancona won the latest meeting 1-0, and they also won 2-3 at Termoli Calcio earlier in the sequence. Ancona's recent scoring output of 12 goals in five matches contrasts with Termoli's 6, and Termoli failed to score in 2 of their last 5. The model gives Ancona an expected goals figure of 1.66 against Termoli's 1.31, supporting a realistic away win. The evidence supports Ancona win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Termoli Calcio 1.31 – 1.66 Ancona · expected total 2.97
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Termoli Calcio
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Termoli Calcio
Ancona
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone F
Termoli Calcio
Ancona
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone F teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Termoli Calcio at home · Ancona away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Termoli Calcio (home)
Ancona (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Ancona 2 wins · 0 draws · Termoli Calcio 2 wins · avg 2.8 goals · BTTS in 1 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | Ancona | 1–0 | Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Termoli Calcio | 2–3 | Ancona | Serie D - Girone F |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Ancona | 0–1 | Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| 23 Oct 2024 | Termoli Calcio | 4–0 | Ancona | Serie D - Girone F |
📈 Recent Form
Termoli Calcio
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Atletico Ascoli | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 18/10 | Teramo | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 11/10 | Fossombrone | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 07/10 | L'Aquila | Away | 2–5 | L |
| 04/10 | Lanciano FC | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Sporting Trestina | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Vigor Senigallia | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 16/09 | Real Giulianova | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 13/09 | Angelana | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 06/09 | L'Aquila | Away | 0–1 | L |
Ancona
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Atletico Ascoli | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 28/10 | Robur Siena | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 25/10 | Vigor Senigallia | Away | 5–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Fossombrone | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 11/10 | Real Giulianova | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Sporting Trestina | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Angelana | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 20/09 | L'Aquila | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 16/09 | Maceratese | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Montecchio Gallo | Home | 0–1 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone F
Termoli Calcio #11 · 12 pts · Ancona #3 · 20 pts
Termoli Calcio
Ancona
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Termoli Calcio
Ancona
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone F predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws