Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone F

Real Giulianova vs Recanatese

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group F - 11 • ⛅ 16.8°C, 8 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available54.9% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available79.5% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available57.1% · No 42.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available56.7% · Under 43.3% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.9% —

🧠 Match Preview

Real Giulianova · Home

Real Giulianova have won three of their last five, though both defeats came at home and they failed to score in two of those five. Their model expected goals of 1.88 is the higher of the two sides.

Recanatese · Away

Recanatese have lost four of five, conceding 11 goals, and failed to score in only one of those matches. Their model expected goals of 1.08 is the lower figure.

Home edge in H2H pattern

The latest head-to-head, on 22 Mar 2026, finished 0-0, while the earlier meeting in Giulianova ended 4-1. Real Giulianova's home wins this run were both 1-0, showing they can edge tight games rather than dominate. Recanatese's away form includes a 1-0 win at Angelana but also a 1-5 loss at Ternana, so the visitors have conceded heavily on the road. The evidence supports Real Giulianova win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Real Giulianova 1.88 – 1.08 Recanatese · expected total 2.96

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Real Giulianova

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1539

Recanatese

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.60
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1351
Real GiulianovaRecanatese
Goals scored (season avg)
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.20
1.60
Best league winning streak this season
2
2
Elo strength rating
1539
1351

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Real Giulianova

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Recanatese

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone F

Real Giulianova

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Recanatese

Best BTTS rate (67%, last 6) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (67%, last 6)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone F teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Real Giulianova at home · Recanatese away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Real Giulianova (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–2L
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2

Recanatese (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Real Giulianova (home)Recanatese (away)
W 2
D 1
L 2
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played
5
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.80
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
2
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.92%
2–0
9.18%
1–0
8.69%
3–1
6.23%
3–0
5.76%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Real Giulianova 1 win · 1 draw · Recanatese 2 wins · avg 3.8 goals · BTTS in 3 of 4

1
1
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
22 Mar 2026 Recanatese 0–0 Real Giulianova Serie D - Girone F
09 Nov 2025 Real Giulianova 4–1 Recanatese Serie D - Girone F
09 Feb 2020 Recanatese 3–2 Real Giulianova Serie D - Girone F
06 Oct 2019 Real Giulianova 2–3 Recanatese Serie D - Girone F

📈 Recent Form

Real Giulianova

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Montecchio Gallo Away 0–3 L
25/10 Pietralunga Home 1–0 W
18/10 Foligno Calcio Away 1–0 W
11/10 Ancona Home 0–2 L
04/10 Santegidiese Away 3–1 W
27/09 Atletico Ascoli Home 4–2 W
20/09 Teramo Away 2–3 L
16/09 Termoli Calcio Home 0–0 D
13/09 Vigor Senigallia Away 0–1 L
06/09 Fossombrone Home 1–2 L

Recanatese

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Sporting Trestina Home 0–1 L
25/10 Angelana Away 1–0 W
21/10 Ternana Away 1–5 L
18/10 L'Aquila Home 2–3 L
10/10 Notaresco Away 1–2 L
04/10 Maceratese Home 2–3 L
27/09 Lanciano FC Away 1–4 L
20/09 Montecchio Gallo Home 0–0 D
16/09 Foligno Calcio Home 4–1 W
12/09 Santegidiese Away 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone F

Real Giulianova #10 · 13 pts ·  Recanatese #15 · 9 pts

Real Giulianova

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–5L
W 4
D 1
L 5
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Recanatese

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–5L
W 2
D 3
L 5
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Real GiulianovaRecanatese
W 4
D 1
L 5
W 2
D 3
L 5
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.60
Clean sheets
3
3
Failed to score
3
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Real Giulianova

0-15
1
3
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
3
76-90
5
scored conceded

Recanatese

1
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
61-75
2
3
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone F predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws