Milan II vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group B - 11 • Stadio Felice Chinetti
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 49% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 80.3% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 61% · Yes 39% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 66.8% · Over 33.2% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 15.8% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Milan II · Home
Milan II have scored in all five recent matches, including a 3-2 win at Virtus Verona (3-2), and their model expected goals of 1.3 is the higher of the two sides. They have drawn two of those five, so the edge is narrow rather than emphatic.
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo · Away
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have lost three of five and failed to score in the 0-2 defeat at Tritium (0-2), with a model expected goals of 0.73. Their one clean sheet came in the 3-0 home win over Virtus Verona (3-0).
Low-scoring H2H pattern
Both latest meetings were decided by a single goal, with Virtus Ciserano Bergamo winning 1-0 at home (1-0) and 0-1 at Milan II (0-1). Milan II have scored in every recent match but conceded in all five, while the visitors failed to score once in five. That points to a tight contest rather than a open one, consistent with the Under 2.5 lean. The evidence supports Milan II win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Milan II 1.30 – 0.73 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo · expected total 2.03
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Milan II
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Milan II
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone B
Milan II
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone B teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Milan II at home · Virtus Ciserano Bergamo away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Milan II (home)
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Milan II 0 wins · 0 draws · Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 2 wins · avg 1 goals · BTTS in 0 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb 2026 | Milan II | 0–1 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Serie D - Girone B |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 1–0 | Milan II | Serie D - Girone B |
📈 Recent Form
Milan II
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Virtus Verona | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 28/10 | Pavonese | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 25/10 | Club Milano | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Chievo | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Rovato Vertovese | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Villa Valle | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 16/09 | Brusaporto | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Pro Palazzolo | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 06/09 | Caldiero Terme | Home | 4–3 | W |
| 02/09 | Everton U21 | Away | 2–1 | W |
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Real Calepina | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 25/10 | Tritium | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Leon | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Nibbiano & Valtidone | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 04/10 | Virtus Verona | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Club Milano | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 21/09 | Chievo | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 16/09 | Pavonese | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Villa Valle | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 06/09 | Rovato Vertovese | Home | 2–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone B
Milan II #6 · 17 pts · Virtus Ciserano Bergamo #14 · 10 pts
Milan II
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Milan II
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone B predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws