Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone B

Pro Palazzolo vs Rovato Vertovese

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group B - 11 • 🌧 10.1°C, 2 km/h, 0.3mm rain

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available38% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available69.2% —
BTTS No Current price not available68.6% · Yes 31.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available78.5% · Over 21.5% —
Correct Score 0-0 Current price not available21.6% —

🧠 Match Preview

Pro Palazzolo · Home

Pro Palazzolo have scored just 3 goals across their last 5 matches, failing to score in 2 of them, including a 0-2 home defeat to Rovato Vertovese in September. Their model expected goals for this fixture is only 0.8.

Rovato Vertovese · Away

Rovato Vertovese have scored 7 in their last 5 but kept no clean sheets, and they drew 0-0 at home in the latest head-to-head on 4 Jan 2026. Their model expected goals here is 0.79.

Low-scoring H2H points to stalemate

The latest meeting between these sides finished 0-0, and the two earlier head-to-heads were also decided by single-goal margins of 0-2 and 0-1. Pro Palazzolo have failed to score in 2 of their last 5, while Rovato Vertovese have 0 clean sheets in that span. With model expected goals of 0.8 and 0.79, a tight, low-scoring contest is realistic. The evidence supports Draw.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Pro Palazzolo 0.80 – 0.79 Rovato Vertovese · expected total 1.59

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Pro Palazzolo

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1318

Rovato Vertovese

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.80
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1352
Pro PalazzoloRovato Vertovese
Goals scored (season avg)
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.30
1.80
Best league winning streak this season
2
1
Elo strength rating
1318
1352

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Pro Palazzolo

Winless 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Rovato Vertovese

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone B

Pro Palazzolo

Worst Over 2.5 rate (17%, last 6)

Rovato Vertovese

2nd worst defence (1.80 conceded/game, season) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (67%, last 6) 2nd worst clean sheets (0, season)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone B teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Pro Palazzolo at home · Rovato Vertovese away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Pro Palazzolo (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Rovato Vertovese (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–2L
W 1
D 2
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Pro Palazzolo (home)Rovato Vertovese (away)
W 1
D 1
L 2
W 1
D 2
L 2
Played
4
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.60
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

0–0
21.64%
1–1
14.18%
2–2
2.04%
3–3
0.14%
4–4
<0.1%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Pro Palazzolo 0 wins · 1 draw · Rovato Vertovese 2 wins · avg 1 goals · BTTS in 0 of 3

1
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
04 Jan 2026 Rovato Vertovese 0–0 Pro Palazzolo Serie D - Girone D
07 Sep 2025 Pro Palazzolo 0–2 Rovato Vertovese Serie D - Girone D
31 Aug 2025 Pro Palazzolo 0–1 Rovato Vertovese Coppa Italia Serie D

📈 Recent Form

Pro Palazzolo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Pavonese Away 0–2 L
25/10 Piacenza Home 1–1 D
18/10 Villa Valle Away 0–1 L
11/10 Caldiero Terme Home 1–3 L
04/10 Brusaporto Away 1–0 W
27/09 Scanzorosciate Away 1–1 D
20/09 Nibbiano & Valtidone Home 0–1 L
16/09 Fiorenzuola Away 1–0 W
12/09 Milan II Home 2–0 W
06/09 Real Calepina Away 1–5 L

Rovato Vertovese

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Caldiero Terme Home 3–1 W
25/10 Fiorenzuola Away 1–2 L
18/10 Scanzorosciate Home 1–1 D
11/10 Milan II Away 2–1 W
04/10 Real Calepina Home 0–1 L
27/09 Tritium Away 2–2 D
20/09 Leon Home 2–2 D
16/09 Virtus Verona Away 1–1 D
12/09 Chievo Home 3–4 L
06/09 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Away 0–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone B

Pro Palazzolo #12 · 11 pts ·  Rovato Vertovese #13 · 10 pts

Pro Palazzolo

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–5L
W 3
D 2
L 5
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Rovato Vertovese

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–4D–4L
W 2
D 4
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0
Pro PalazzoloRovato Vertovese
W 3
D 2
L 5
W 2
D 4
L 4
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.80
Clean sheets
3
0
Failed to score
2
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
2
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
3/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Pro Palazzolo

1
0-15
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
4
76-90
1
scored conceded

Rovato Vertovese

2
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
4
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
4
61-75
2
3
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone B predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws