Napoli W vs AC Milan W
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 14:30 UTC+3 • Round 7 • Stadio Giuseppe Piccolo
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 28.1% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 67.9% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 56.2% · No 43.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 49% · Over 51% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Current price not available | 13.4% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Napoli W · Home
Napoli W have won just once in their last five, with the 4-1 win at Sassuolo W the outlier. They failed to score in only one of those five, the 0-0 home draw with Inter Milano W.
AC Milan W · Away
AC Milan W have alternated sharply, beating Ternana W 3-0 and Juventus W 2-1 but losing their other three. Their two away defeats in that run came by 0-1 at Como W and 2-4 at Roma W.
H2H draws and tight margins
The latest head-to-head, AC Milan W 0-0 Napoli W on 25 Apr 2026, is the most recent meeting and shows how little separated these sides. The earlier H2H results swung hard, Napoli W 0-2 and AC Milan W 6-0, yet the model expected goals of 1.44 for Napoli W and 1.27 for AC Milan W point to a far tighter contest. Both recent records include one clean sheet and one match where the team failed to score, and the 1-1 correct score at 13.4% fits a balanced, low-margin game. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Napoli W 1.44 – 1.27 AC Milan W · expected total 2.72
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Napoli W
AC Milan W
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie A Women
Napoli W
AC Milan W
Rank among 12 Serie A Women teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Napoli W at home · AC Milan W away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Napoli W (home)
AC Milan W (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
AC Milan W 6 wins · 4 draws · Napoli W 0 wins · avg 2.2 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | AC Milan W | 0–0 | Napoli W | Serie A Women |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Napoli W | 0–2 | AC Milan W | Serie A Women |
| 12 Jan 2025 | AC Milan W | 6–0 | Napoli W | Serie A Women |
| 06 Oct 2024 | Napoli W | 0–1 | AC Milan W | Serie A Women |
| 12 May 2024 | Napoli W | 1–1 | AC Milan W | Serie A Women |
| 14 Apr 2024 | AC Milan W | 3–2 | Napoli W | Serie A Women |
| 16 Dec 2023 | AC Milan W | 1–1 | Napoli W | Serie A Women |
| 01 Oct 2023 | Napoli W | 0–1 | AC Milan W | Serie A Women |
| 06 Mar 2022 | AC Milan W | 1–1 | Napoli W | Serie A Women |
| 03 Oct 2021 | Napoli W | 0–1 | AC Milan W | Serie A Women |
📈 Recent Form
Napoli W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Roma W | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Inter Milano W | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 17/10 | Sassuolo W | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 04/10 | Como 1907 W | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 26/09 | Juventus W | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 06/09 | Parma W | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 30/08 | Inter Milano W | Away | 0–6 | L |
| 23/08 | Lazio W | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 17/05 | Sassuolo W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 09/05 | Como W | Away | 0–0 | D |
AC Milan W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Como W | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 24/10 | Ternana W | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Roma W | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 04/10 | Juventus W | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Como 1907 W | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 06/09 | Juventus W | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 29/08 | Como 1907 W | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 22/08 | Como W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/05 | Ternana W | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 10/05 | Parma W | Home | 3–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie A Women
Napoli W #8 · 4 pts · AC Milan W #7 · 6 pts
Napoli W
AC Milan W
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Napoli W
AC Milan W
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie A Women predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws