Italy Serie A Women Draw Football Predictions

Round 5 • 1 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

Regular Season, Round 5

Today - Monday, November 02

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
22:30 WDWLL WLLLW 25.1% Draw Betfair3.60 -9.6% —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

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Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

3 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
100.0% 3/3
⚽ Both Teams to Score
66.7% 2/3
📈 Over / Under 2.5
100.0% 3/3
🔢 Correct Score
66.7% 2/3
🛡️ Double Chance
100.0% 3/3
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
100.0% 3/3

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 100.0% 3/3
⚽ Both Teams to Score 66.7% 2/3
📈 Over / Under 2.5 100.0% 3/3
🛡️ Double Chance 100.0% 3/3
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 3/3. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 3/3. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 3/3. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 3/3. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 3/3. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% 71.2% 100.0% 2 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 42.1% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 67.4% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 71.8% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 46.0% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 74.7% 100.0% 2 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 51.4% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 8.8% 66.7% 3 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 87.5% 100.0% 2 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 71.5% 100.0% 1 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.