Predictions → Italy Serie A Women

Fiorentina W vs Lazio W

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 20:00 UTC+3 • Round 7 • Curva Fiesole - Viola Park

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available60.6% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available81.5% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available65% · No 35% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available69.1% · Under 30.9% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.6% —

🧠 Match Preview

Fiorentina W · Home

Fiorentina W have scored in four of their last five, including a 2-1 win at Parma W and a 2-0 home win over Sassuolo W. Their model expected goals of 2.34 for this fixture is the highest figure in the supplied data.

Lazio W · Away

Lazio W have failed to score in four of their last five, with 0-0 draws against Como W and Parma W their only points. They have scored just 1 goal across those five matches.

Fiorentina edge recent H2H

The latest head-to-head, on 17 May 2026, ended 2-1 to Fiorentina W at home. Lazio W won the two prior meetings 3-0 and 2-0, both in Rome, so the venue split matters here. Fiorentina W's 2.34 model expected goals against a Lazio W side that failed to score in four of five recent matches supports the home view. The evidence supports Fiorentina W win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Fiorentina W 2.34 – 1.24 Lazio W · expected total 3.58

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Fiorentina W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1370

Lazio W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1314
Fiorentina WLazio W
Goals scored (season avg)
1.30
0.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.00
1.00
Best league winning streak this season
3
2
Elo strength rating
1370
1314

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Fiorentina W

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Lazio W

Winless 6
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
2/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie A Women

Fiorentina W

2nd best defence (1.00 conceded/game, season)

Lazio W

Worst attack (0.30 goals/game, season) 2nd best defence (1.00 conceded/game, season) 2nd best clean sheets (2, season)

Rank among 12 Serie A Women teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Fiorentina W at home · Lazio W away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Fiorentina W (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–0L
W 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Lazio W (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–2L
L 2
Played2
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Fiorentina W (home)Lazio W (away)
W 1
L 2
Played
1
2
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
0.50
Goals conceded (avg)
0.00
2.00
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.56%
2–0
7.69%
3–1
7.45%
3–0
5.99%
1–0
5.76%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Fiorentina W 3 wins · 1 draw · Lazio W 2 wins · avg 4 goals · BTTS in 4 of 6

3
1
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
17 May 2026 Fiorentina W 2–1 Lazio W Serie A Women
24 Jan 2026 Lazio W 3–0 Fiorentina W Serie A Women
25 Jan 2025 Lazio W 2–0 Fiorentina W Serie A Women
19 Oct 2024 Fiorentina W 3–2 Lazio W Serie A Women
26 Feb 2022 Fiorentina W 2–2 Lazio W Serie A Women
26 Sep 2021 Lazio W 1–6 Fiorentina W Serie A Women

📈 Recent Form

Fiorentina W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25/10 Parma W Away 2–1 W
17/10 Como W Away 1–1 D
03/10 Sassuolo W Home 2–0 W
27/09 Inter Milano W Away 0–2 L
05/09 Roma W Away 0–3 L
30/08 Ternana W Home 3–1 W
23/08 Sassuolo W Home 1–2 L
17/05 Lazio W Home 2–1 W
09/05 Genoa W Away 3–2 W
03/05 Como W Home 1–0 W

Lazio W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Inter Milano W Away 0–3 L
25/10 Como W Home 0–0 D
17/10 Ternana W Away 0–1 L
03/10 Roma W Away 1–3 L
26/09 Parma W Home 0–0 D
06/09 Inter Milano W Away 1–3 L
30/08 Parma W Home 2–0 W
23/08 Napoli W Home 4–2 W
17/05 Fiorentina W Away 1–2 L
10/05 Ternana W Home 2–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: Serie A Women

Fiorentina W #5 · 7 pts ·  Lazio W #11 · 2 pts

Fiorentina W

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–1L
W 2
D 1
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards5
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Lazio W

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–3L
D 2
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards10
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Fiorentina WLazio W
W 2
D 1
L 1
D 2
L 3
Played
4
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
0.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.00
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
1
3
Yellow cards
5
10
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Fiorentina W

0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
76-90
scored conceded

Lazio W

0-15
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie A Women predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws