Predictions → Italy Serie A Women

Ternana W vs Fiorentina W

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 17:00 UTC+3 • Round 6 • Stadio Libero Liberati

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available25.6% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available63.2% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available64.8% · No 35.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available38% · Over 62% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available11.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

Ternana W · Home

Ternana W have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches, with the 1-1 draw against Como 1907 W the most recent result. They also beat Lazio W 1-0 at home and Parma W 2-1 away, though they failed to score in the 0-3 loss at AC Milan W.

Fiorentina W · Away

Fiorentina W have the same 5-match record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, but their away form includes a 2-1 win at Parma W and a 1-1 draw at Como W. They failed to score in 2 of those 5 matches, both away defeats.

Ternana Home Draw Pattern

The latest head-to-head, on 30 Aug 2026, ended 3-1 to Fiorentina W, but the previous meeting in Ternana ended 2-2. Ternana W have drawn 1 of their last 5, and Fiorentina W have drawn 1 of their last 5, with both teams scoring 5 and conceding 7 across those matches. The model gives Ternana W 1.59 expected goals and Fiorentina W 1.61, a near-even split that supports a level result. The evidence supports Draw.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Ternana W 1.59 – 1.61 Fiorentina W · expected total 3.21

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Ternana W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1335

Fiorentina W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1370
Ternana WFiorentina W
Goals scored (season avg)
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.40
1.00
Best league winning streak this season
2
3
Elo strength rating
1335
1370

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Ternana W

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Fiorentina W

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie A Women

Ternana W

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Fiorentina W

2nd best defence (1.00 conceded/game, season)

Rank among 12 Serie A Women teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Ternana W at home · Fiorentina W away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Ternana W (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–1L
W 1
D 1
L 1
Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Fiorentina W (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–1L
W 1
D 1
L 1
Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Ternana W (home)Fiorentina W (away)
W 1
D 1
L 1
W 1
D 1
L 1
Played
3
3
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.30
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
11.48%
2–2
6.71%
0–0
5.11%
3–3
1.91%
4–4
0.31%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Fiorentina W 2 wins · 1 draw · Ternana W 0 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 2 of 3

2
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
30 Aug 2026 Fiorentina W 3–1 Ternana W Serie A Cup Women
26 Apr 2026 Ternana W 2–2 Fiorentina W Serie A Women
07 Dec 2025 Fiorentina W 1–0 Ternana W Serie A Women

📈 Recent Form

Ternana W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Como 1907 W Home 1–1 D
24/10 AC Milan W Away 0–3 L
17/10 Lazio W Home 1–0 W
03/10 Parma W Away 2–1 W
27/09 Como W Home 1–2 L
05/09 Sassuolo W Away 0–2 L
30/08 Fiorentina W Away 1–3 L
22/08 Roma W Home 0–2 L
17/05 AC Milan W Home 1–0 W
10/05 Lazio W Away 0–2 L

Fiorentina W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25/10 Parma W Away 2–1 W
17/10 Como W Away 1–1 D
03/10 Sassuolo W Home 2–0 W
27/09 Inter Milano W Away 0–2 L
05/09 Roma W Away 0–3 L
30/08 Ternana W Home 3–1 W
23/08 Sassuolo W Home 1–2 L
17/05 Lazio W Home 2–1 W
09/05 Genoa W Away 3–2 W
03/05 Como W Home 1–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: Serie A Women

Ternana W #6 · 7 pts ·  Fiorentina W #5 · 7 pts

Ternana W

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–2L
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards8
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Fiorentina W

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–1L
W 2
D 1
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards5
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Ternana WFiorentina W
W 2
D 1
L 2
W 2
D 1
L 1
Played
5
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.00
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
1
1
Yellow cards
8
5
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Ternana W

0-15
2
2
16-30
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
61-75
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Fiorentina W

0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie A Women predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws