Predictions → Italy Serie A Women

Lazio W vs Napoli W

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 20:00 UTC+3 • Round 6 • Campo Mirko Fersini

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available27.2% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available67.7% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available58.9% · No 41.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available45.5% · Over 54.5% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available12.8% —

🧠 Match Preview

Lazio W · Home

Lazio W have failed to score in four of their last five matches, with the two 0-0 home draws against Como W and Parma W showing a low-scoring pattern at home. The latest H2H saw Lazio W win 4-2 at home, but their recent record of 1 goal in 5 games tempers that memory.

Napoli W · Away

Napoli W scored 7 goals across their last five, including a 4-1 win at Sassuolo W, yet they also lost 1-2 at Roma W and 1-3 at Juventus W. Their only clean sheet in that run was the 0-0 home draw with Inter Milano W.

Low-scoring draw pattern

Lazio W's recent record shows 2 draws and 4 failed-to-score matches in 5, while Napoli W have 1 draw and 1 failed-to-score match in the same span. The latest H2H was a 4-2 Lazio W home win, but the two prior meetings were 1-0 and 0-1, so a tight scoreline is realistic. The model gives the draw 27.2% and a 1-1 correct score 12.8%, with Lazio W at 1.52 and Napoli W at 1.34 expected goals. The evidence supports Draw.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Lazio W 1.52 – 1.34 Napoli W · expected total 2.86

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Lazio W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1314

Napoli W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1367
Lazio WNapoli W
Goals scored (season avg)
0.30
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.00
1.50
Best league winning streak this season
2
3
Elo strength rating
1314
1367

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Lazio W

Winless 6
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
2/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Napoli W

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie A Women

Lazio W

Worst attack (0.30 goals/game, season) 2nd best defence (1.00 conceded/game, season) 2nd best clean sheets (2, season)

Napoli W

3rd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6)

Rank among 12 Serie A Women teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Lazio W at home · Napoli W away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Lazio W (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–0L
D 2
Played2
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2

Napoli W (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–1L
W 1
L 1
Played2
Goals scored (avg)2.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Lazio W (home)Napoli W (away)
D 2
W 1
L 1
Played
2
2
Goals scored (avg)
0.00
2.50
Goals conceded (avg)
0.00
2.00
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
2
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
12.84%
0–0
6.89%
2–2
5.95%
3–3
1.35%
4–4
0.17%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Lazio W 8 wins · 1 draw · Napoli W 1 win · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10

8
1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
23 Aug 2026 Lazio W 4–2 Napoli W Serie A Cup Women
14 Mar 2026 Napoli W 0–1 Lazio W Serie A Women
09 Nov 2025 Lazio W 1–0 Napoli W Serie A Women
23 Aug 2025 Lazio W 2–1 Napoli W Serie A Cup Women
18 Apr 2025 Lazio W 2–1 Napoli W Serie A Women
08 Mar 2025 Napoli W 0–4 Lazio W Serie A Women
18 Jan 2025 Napoli W 0–4 Lazio W Serie A Women
13 Oct 2024 Lazio W 0–0 Napoli W Serie A Women
02 Apr 2022 Napoli W 0–1 Lazio W Serie A Women
07 Nov 2021 Lazio W 3–4 Napoli W Serie A Women

📈 Recent Form

Lazio W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Inter Milano W Away 0–3 L
25/10 Como W Home 0–0 D
17/10 Ternana W Away 0–1 L
03/10 Roma W Away 1–3 L
26/09 Parma W Home 0–0 D
06/09 Inter Milano W Away 1–3 L
30/08 Parma W Home 2–0 W
23/08 Napoli W Home 4–2 W
17/05 Fiorentina W Away 1–2 L
10/05 Ternana W Home 2–0 W

Napoli W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Roma W Away 1–2 L
24/10 Inter Milano W Home 0–0 D
17/10 Sassuolo W Away 4–1 W
04/10 Como 1907 W Home 1–2 L
26/09 Juventus W Away 1–3 L
06/09 Parma W Home 1–0 W
30/08 Inter Milano W Away 0–6 L
23/08 Lazio W Away 2–4 L
17/05 Sassuolo W Home 1–1 D
09/05 Como W Away 0–0 D

📊 Season Comparison: Serie A Women

Lazio W #11 · 2 pts ·  Napoli W #8 · 4 pts

Lazio W

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–3L
D 2
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards10
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Napoli W

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–3L
W 1
D 1
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards6
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Lazio WNapoli W
D 2
L 3
W 1
D 1
L 3
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
0.30
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.50
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
3
1
Yellow cards
10
6
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Lazio W

0-15
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Napoli W

1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie A Women predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws