Predictions → Italy Serie A Women

Parma W vs Napoli W

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 21 Nov 2026 • 14:30 UTC+3 • Round 8 • Stadio Ennio Tardini

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Away Current price not available43.4% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available75.9% —
BTTS No Current price not available59.3% · Yes 40.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available66.8% · Over 33.2% —
Correct Score 0-1 Current price not available14.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

Parma W · Home

Parma W have taken only two points from their last five matches, with two 0-0 draws and three defeats. They failed to score in three of those five games, including the 0-0 at Sassuolo W (0-0).

Napoli W · Away

Napoli W won 4-1 at Sassuolo W (4-1) and held Inter Milano W to a 0-0 draw at home (0-0). Their latest meeting with Parma W ended 1-0 in Napoli's favour (1-0).

Napoli edge low-scoring series

The latest head-to-head, a 1-0 Napoli W win (1-0), fits a tight series: the previous two meetings finished 0-0 (0-0) and 1-1 (1-1). Parma W have scored just 2 goals across their last five matches and failed to score in 3 of them, while Napoli W found the net 7 times in five. The model gives Napoli W a modest 1.2 expected goals against Parma W's 0.83, and a 0-1 correct score is the single most likely outcome at 14.5%. The evidence supports Napoli W win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Parma W 0.83 – 1.20 Napoli W · expected total 2.03

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Parma W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1312

Napoli W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1367
Parma WNapoli W
Goals scored (season avg)
0.40
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.40
1.50
Best league winning streak this season
1
3
Elo strength rating
1312
1367

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Parma W

Winless 10
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
2/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Napoli W

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie A Women

Parma W

2nd worst attack (0.40 goals/game, season) 2nd best clean sheets (2, season)

Napoli W

3rd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6)

Rank among 12 Serie A Women teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Parma W at home · Napoli W away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Parma W (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–2L
L 2
Played2
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Napoli W (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–1L
W 1
L 1
Played2
Goals scored (avg)2.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Parma W (home)Napoli W (away)
L 2
W 1
L 1
Played
2
2
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
2.50
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
2.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

0–1
14.46%
0–2
9.48%
1–2
7.86%
0–3
3.8%
1–3
3.15%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Napoli W 1 win · 3 draws · Parma W 0 wins · avg 1.8 goals · BTTS in 2 of 4

1
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
06 Sep 2026 Napoli W 1–0 Parma W Serie A Cup Women
21 Feb 2026 Napoli W 0–0 Parma W Serie A Women
01 Nov 2025 Parma W 1–1 Napoli W Serie A Women
07 Sep 2025 Napoli W 2–2 Parma W Serie A Cup Women

📈 Recent Form

Parma W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Sassuolo W Away 0–0 D
25/10 Fiorentina W Home 1–2 L
18/10 Inter Milano W Away 0–3 L
03/10 Ternana W Home 1–2 L
26/09 Lazio W Away 0–0 D
06/09 Napoli W Away 0–1 L
30/08 Lazio W Away 0–2 L
21/08 Inter Milano W Home 0–1 L
17/05 Juventus W Home 1–3 L
10/05 AC Milan W Away 1–3 L

Napoli W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Roma W Away 1–2 L
24/10 Inter Milano W Home 0–0 D
17/10 Sassuolo W Away 4–1 W
04/10 Como 1907 W Home 1–2 L
26/09 Juventus W Away 1–3 L
06/09 Parma W Home 1–0 W
30/08 Inter Milano W Away 0–6 L
23/08 Lazio W Away 2–4 L
17/05 Sassuolo W Home 1–1 D
09/05 Como W Away 0–0 D

📊 Season Comparison: Serie A Women

Parma W #10 · 2 pts ·  Napoli W #8 · 4 pts

Parma W

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–3L
D 2
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards4
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Napoli W

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–3L
W 1
D 1
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards6
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Parma WNapoli W
D 2
L 3
W 1
D 1
L 3
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
0.40
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.50
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
3
1
Yellow cards
4
6
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Parma W

1
0-15
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
scored conceded

Napoli W

1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie A Women predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws