Predictions → Italy Serie A Women

Roma W vs Parma W

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 17:00 UTC+3 • Round 7 • Stadio Tre Fontane • ☁️ 6.2°C, 13 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available74% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available88.6% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available70% · No 30% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available82.5% · Under 17.5% —
Correct Score 3-1 Current price not available8.3% —

🧠 Match Preview

Roma W · Home

Roma W have won four of their last five, scoring 14 goals across that run, including 5-2 at Juventus W and 4-2 against AC Milan W. Their model expected goals of 3.27 for this fixture underline how consistently they have created scoring chances at home.

Parma W · Away

Parma W are without a win in five, with three defeats and only two goals scored, failing to score in three of those matches. They did hold Roma W to 3-3 in the latest head-to-head, though they lost the previous meeting 4-0.

Roma's Scoring Edge

Roma W have scored at least twice in four of their last five matches, while Parma W have managed just two goals in five and failed to score three times. The latest head-to-head ended 3-3, showing Parma W can find the net against Roma W, but the earlier meeting finished 4-0. Roma W's model expected goals of 3.27 point to a home side likely to create plenty, and Parma W's two clean sheets came in goalless draws rather than against dominant attacks. The evidence supports Roma W win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Roma W 3.27 – 1.29 Parma W · expected total 4.56

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Roma W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)3.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season11
Elo strength rating1409

Parma W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1312
Roma WParma W
Goals scored (season avg)
3.80
0.40
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
1.40
Best league winning streak this season
11
1
Elo strength rating
1409
1312

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Roma W

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Parma W

Winless 10
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
2/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie A Women

Roma W

Best attack (3.80 goals/game, season) 3rd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Parma W

2nd worst attack (0.40 goals/game, season) 2nd best clean sheets (2, season)

Rank among 12 Serie A Women teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Roma W at home · Parma W away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Roma W (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–0L
W 2
Played2
Goals scored (avg)3.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Parma W (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–1L
D 2
L 1
Played3
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Roma W (home)Parma W (away)
W 2
D 2
L 1
Played
2
3
Goals scored (avg)
3.50
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.00
Clean sheets
0
2
Failed to score
0
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

3–1
8.27%
2–1
7.58%
4–1
6.77%
3–0
6.41%
2–0
5.88%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Parma W 0 wins · 1 draw · Roma W 3 wins · avg 5 goals · BTTS in 2 of 4

1
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
01 Feb 2026 Parma W 3–3 Roma W Serie A Women
04 Oct 2025 Roma W 4–0 Parma W Serie A Women
22 Jan 2023 Parma W 2–3 Roma W Serie A Women
02 Oct 2022 Roma W 5–0 Parma W Serie A Women

📈 Recent Form

Roma W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Napoli W Home 2–1 W
28/10 Chelsea W Away 0–2 L
24/10 Juventus W Away 5–2 W
18/10 AC Milan W Home 4–2 W
03/10 Lazio W Home 3–1 W
30/09 Barcelona W Home 0–6 L
27/09 Sassuolo W Away 3–1 W
23/09 OH Leuven W Away 0–0 D
13/09 Sassuolo W Away 7–1 W
05/09 Fiorentina W Home 3–0 W

Parma W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Sassuolo W Away 0–0 D
25/10 Fiorentina W Home 1–2 L
18/10 Inter Milano W Away 0–3 L
03/10 Ternana W Home 1–2 L
26/09 Lazio W Away 0–0 D
06/09 Napoli W Away 0–1 L
30/08 Lazio W Away 0–2 L
21/08 Inter Milano W Home 0–1 L
17/05 Juventus W Home 1–3 L
10/05 AC Milan W Away 1–3 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie A Women

Roma W #1 · 15 pts ·  Parma W #10 · 2 pts

Roma W

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–0D–0L
W 5
Played5
Goals scored (avg)3.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards4
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Parma W

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–3L
D 2
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards4
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Roma WParma W
W 5
D 2
L 3
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
3.80
0.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.40
Clean sheets
0
2
Failed to score
0
3
Yellow cards
4
4
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Roma W

0-15
4
2
16-30
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
61-75
2
2
76-90
4
scored conceded

Parma W

1
0-15
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie A Women predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws